Recent short-term forecasts from MetService and AccuWeather indicate highest temperatures in Wellington around 13–14°C on August 14, aligning with the market's leading implied probabilities. Winter climatology shows average August maxima near 13°C, with day-to-day variability driven by southerly or northeasterly flows, cloud cover, and wind. The NIWA seasonal outlook assigns the highest probability (45%) to near-average temperatures through August, supporting the tight clustering around 13–14°C rather than extremes. Model consensus currently favors stable high-pressure influence yielding mild conditions without significant warming or cooling anomalies, though minor forecast adjustments from updated runs could shift odds between the top two outcomes before resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Wellington am 14. August?
Höchste Temperatur in Wellington am 14. August?
14°C 47%
13°C 31%
15°C 14%
12°C 6%
NEU
NEU
14. Aug. 2026
8°C or below
<1%
9°C
<1%
10°C
1%
11°C
4%
12°C
6%
13°C
31%
14°C
47%
15°C
14%
16°C
3%
17°C
4%
18°C or higher
1%
14°C 47%
13°C 31%
15°C 14%
12°C 6%
NEU
NEU
14. Aug. 2026
8°C or below
$331 Vol.
<1%
9°C
$319 Vol.
<1%
10°C
$399 Vol.
1%
11°C
$12 Vol.
4%
12°C
$8 Vol.
6%
13°C
$54 Vol.
31%
14°C
$96 Vol.
47%
15°C
$1 Vol.
14%
16°C
$26 Vol.
3%
17°C
$2 Vol.
4%
18°C or higher
$12 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent short-term forecasts from MetService and AccuWeather indicate highest temperatures in Wellington around 13–14°C on August 14, aligning with the market's leading implied probabilities. Winter climatology shows average August maxima near 13°C, with day-to-day variability driven by southerly or northeasterly flows, cloud cover, and wind. The NIWA seasonal outlook assigns the highest probability (45%) to near-average temperatures through August, supporting the tight clustering around 13–14°C rather than extremes. Model consensus currently favors stable high-pressure influence yielding mild conditions without significant warming or cooling anomalies, though minor forecast adjustments from updated runs could shift odds between the top two outcomes before resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Aug 12, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
Volumen
$1,260Enddatum
14. Aug. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 12, 2026, 12:02 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWNResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent short-term forecasts from MetService and AccuWeather indicate highest temperatures in Wellington around 13–14°C on August 14, aligning with the market's leading implied probabilities. Winter climatology shows average August maxima near 13°C, with day-to-day variability driven by southerly or northeasterly flows, cloud cover, and wind. The NIWA seasonal outlook assigns the highest probability (45%) to near-average temperatures through August, supporting the tight clustering around 13–14°C rather than extremes. Model consensus currently favors stable high-pressure influence yielding mild conditions without significant warming or cooling anomalies, though minor forecast adjustments from updated runs could shift odds between the top two outcomes before resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$1,260Enddatum
14. Aug. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 12, 2026, 12:02 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWNResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent short-term forecasts from MetService and AccuWeather indicate highest temperatures in Wellington around 13–14°C on August 14, aligning with the market's leading implied probabilities. Winter climatology shows average August maxima near 13°C, with day-to-day variability driven by southerly or northeasterly flows, cloud cover, and wind. The NIWA seasonal outlook assigns the highest probability (45%) to near-average temperatures through August, supporting the tight clustering around 13–14°C rather than extremes. Model consensus currently favors stable high-pressure influence yielding mild conditions without significant warming or cooling anomalies, though minor forecast adjustments from updated runs could shift odds between the top two outcomes before resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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