Recent numerical weather prediction consensus and climatological baselines position 34–35°C as the leading outcomes for Chongqing’s daily maximum on August 14, consistent with typical mid-August subtropical monsoon conditions where highs average 32–35°C amid high humidity and topographic heat trapping. Persistent regional moisture and potential convective cloud cover or showers could suppress insolation and cap temperatures near or slightly below these levels, while clearer skies or stronger high-pressure influence would support brief spikes to 36°C. Market-implied odds, with 34°C at 35% and 35°C at 22%, aggregate trader evaluation of model spread and short-range forecast updates expected from the China Meteorological Administration in the next 48 hours. Historical analogs show daily maxima rarely exceed 37°C without pronounced heatwave amplification this late in the season.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Chongqing am 14. August?
34°C 36%
35°C 23%
33°C 16%
36°C 14%
30°C or below
2%
31°C
2%
32°C
11%
33°C
16%
34°C
36%
35°C
23%
36°C
14%
37°C
12%
38°C
5%
39°C
5%
40°C oder höher
1%
34°C 36%
35°C 23%
33°C 16%
36°C 14%
30°C or below
2%
31°C
2%
32°C
11%
33°C
16%
34°C
36%
35°C
23%
36°C
14%
37°C
12%
38°C
5%
39°C
5%
40°C oder höher
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Aug 12, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCKResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent numerical weather prediction consensus and climatological baselines position 34–35°C as the leading outcomes for Chongqing’s daily maximum on August 14, consistent with typical mid-August subtropical monsoon conditions where highs average 32–35°C amid high humidity and topographic heat trapping. Persistent regional moisture and potential convective cloud cover or showers could suppress insolation and cap temperatures near or slightly below these levels, while clearer skies or stronger high-pressure influence would support brief spikes to 36°C. Market-implied odds, with 34°C at 35% and 35°C at 22%, aggregate trader evaluation of model spread and short-range forecast updates expected from the China Meteorological Administration in the next 48 hours. Historical analogs show daily maxima rarely exceed 37°C without pronounced heatwave amplification this late in the season.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert


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