Traders price 30–32°C outcomes highest for Seoul Incheon’s August 14 maximum, reflecting KMA and ensemble model guidance showing mostly cloudy skies and moderating conditions after early-August heatwave peaks near 39°C. Official short-range forecasts currently indicate a daytime high near 33–34°C with 20% precipitation chances, yet recent observational trends and seasonal August cooling—daily highs typically declining several degrees through mid-month—support the market’s emphasis on 30–32°C bins. Key variables include steering patterns that could enhance cloud cover and limit insolation, alongside typical Incheon station measurement protocols using official maximums. Updated model runs and KMA briefings ahead of the 14th will likely refine these implied probabilities.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Seoul (Incheon) am 14. August?
Höchste Temperatur in Seoul (Incheon) am 14. August?
31°C 45%
30°C 29%
32°C 21%
33°C 6%
NEU
$10,877 Vol.
NEU
$10,877 Vol.
14. Aug. 2026
26°C or below
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
1%
29°C
4%
30°C
29%
31°C
45%
32°C
21%
33°C
6%
34°C
2%
35°C
1%
36°C or higher
<1%
31°C 45%
30°C 29%
32°C 21%
33°C 6%
NEU
$10,877 Vol.
NEU
$10,877 Vol.
14. Aug. 2026
26°C or below
$372 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$315 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$917 Vol.
1%
29°C
$577 Vol.
4%
30°C
$1,601 Vol.
29%
31°C
$2,547 Vol.
45%
32°C
$1,268 Vol.
21%
33°C
$973 Vol.
6%
34°C
$1,149 Vol.
2%
35°C
$425 Vol.
1%
36°C or higher
$736 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Traders price 30–32°C outcomes highest for Seoul Incheon’s August 14 maximum, reflecting KMA and ensemble model guidance showing mostly cloudy skies and moderating conditions after early-August heatwave peaks near 39°C. Official short-range forecasts currently indicate a daytime high near 33–34°C with 20% precipitation chances, yet recent observational trends and seasonal August cooling—daily highs typically declining several degrees through mid-month—support the market’s emphasis on 30–32°C bins. Key variables include steering patterns that could enhance cloud cover and limit insolation, alongside typical Incheon station measurement protocols using official maximums. Updated model runs and KMA briefings ahead of the 14th will likely refine these implied probabilities.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Aug 12, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
Volumen
$10,877Enddatum
14. Aug. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 12, 2026, 12:02 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Traders price 30–32°C outcomes highest for Seoul Incheon’s August 14 maximum, reflecting KMA and ensemble model guidance showing mostly cloudy skies and moderating conditions after early-August heatwave peaks near 39°C. Official short-range forecasts currently indicate a daytime high near 33–34°C with 20% precipitation chances, yet recent observational trends and seasonal August cooling—daily highs typically declining several degrees through mid-month—support the market’s emphasis on 30–32°C bins. Key variables include steering patterns that could enhance cloud cover and limit insolation, alongside typical Incheon station measurement protocols using official maximums. Updated model runs and KMA briefings ahead of the 14th will likely refine these implied probabilities.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$10,877Enddatum
14. Aug. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 12, 2026, 12:02 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...Traders price 30–32°C outcomes highest for Seoul Incheon’s August 14 maximum, reflecting KMA and ensemble model guidance showing mostly cloudy skies and moderating conditions after early-August heatwave peaks near 39°C. Official short-range forecasts currently indicate a daytime high near 33–34°C with 20% precipitation chances, yet recent observational trends and seasonal August cooling—daily highs typically declining several degrees through mid-month—support the market’s emphasis on 30–32°C bins. Key variables include steering patterns that could enhance cloud cover and limit insolation, alongside typical Incheon station measurement protocols using official maximums. Updated model runs and KMA briefings ahead of the 14th will likely refine these implied probabilities.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Häufig gestellte Fragen