Recent ensemble forecasts from ECMWF and other models point to a maximum temperature of 25–26°C in Amsterdam on August 15, driven by moderating westerly Atlantic flow and increased cloud cover that limits daytime heating. Following early-month heat peaks near 33°C, a shift toward cooler maritime air has lowered expectations from seasonal norms around 21–22°C. Possible afternoon showers add uncertainty to the exact peak, as timing and intensity could trim or sustain highs by 1–2°C. Traders weigh these variables against historical variability in late-summer patterns, with fresh model runs and KNMI guidance expected to refine resolution criteria ahead of the date.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Amsterdam am 15. August?
Höchste Temperatur in Amsterdam am 15. August?
26°C 34%
25°C 30%
27°C 15%
24°C 14%
NEU
NEU
15. Aug. 2026
20°C oder niedriger
<1%
21°C
1%
22°C
1%
23°C
7%
24°C
14%
25°C
30%
26°C
34%
27°C
15%
28°C
4%
29°C
2%
30°C oder höher
1%
26°C 34%
25°C 30%
27°C 15%
24°C 14%
NEU
NEU
15. Aug. 2026
20°C oder niedriger
$362 Vol.
<1%
21°C
$759 Vol.
1%
22°C
$352 Vol.
1%
23°C
$650 Vol.
7%
24°C
$663 Vol.
14%
25°C
$800 Vol.
30%
26°C
$991 Vol.
34%
27°C
$868 Vol.
15%
28°C
$390 Vol.
4%
29°C
$47 Vol.
2%
30°C oder höher
$10 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts from ECMWF and other models point to a maximum temperature of 25–26°C in Amsterdam on August 15, driven by moderating westerly Atlantic flow and increased cloud cover that limits daytime heating. Following early-month heat peaks near 33°C, a shift toward cooler maritime air has lowered expectations from seasonal norms around 21–22°C. Possible afternoon showers add uncertainty to the exact peak, as timing and intensity could trim or sustain highs by 1–2°C. Traders weigh these variables against historical variability in late-summer patterns, with fresh model runs and KNMI guidance expected to refine resolution criteria ahead of the date.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Aug 13, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Volumen
$5,892Enddatum
15. Aug. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 13, 2026, 12:57 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAMResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts from ECMWF and other models point to a maximum temperature of 25–26°C in Amsterdam on August 15, driven by moderating westerly Atlantic flow and increased cloud cover that limits daytime heating. Following early-month heat peaks near 33°C, a shift toward cooler maritime air has lowered expectations from seasonal norms around 21–22°C. Possible afternoon showers add uncertainty to the exact peak, as timing and intensity could trim or sustain highs by 1–2°C. Traders weigh these variables against historical variability in late-summer patterns, with fresh model runs and KNMI guidance expected to refine resolution criteria ahead of the date.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$5,892Enddatum
15. Aug. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 13, 2026, 12:57 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAMResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent ensemble forecasts from ECMWF and other models point to a maximum temperature of 25–26°C in Amsterdam on August 15, driven by moderating westerly Atlantic flow and increased cloud cover that limits daytime heating. Following early-month heat peaks near 33°C, a shift toward cooler maritime air has lowered expectations from seasonal norms around 21–22°C. Possible afternoon showers add uncertainty to the exact peak, as timing and intensity could trim or sustain highs by 1–2°C. Traders weigh these variables against historical variability in late-summer patterns, with fresh model runs and KNMI guidance expected to refine resolution criteria ahead of the date.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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