**Persistent cloud cover, showers, and thunderstorms are the main drivers capping Shanghai's peak temperature on August 13 near 29–30 °C.** Official guidance and ensemble forecasts from regional models show daytime maxima in this narrow band amid overcast skies and scattered rain, which sharply reduce solar heating compared with clearer summer days. Recent patterns reinforce this: similar conditions on August 11–12 produced highs of 29–30 °C, and the same moist, stable air mass is expected to linger. Historical August averages hover around 31–32 °C, but the current setup—enhanced by seasonal monsoon moisture—favors lower peaks. Market odds cluster tightly on 29 °C (33.5 %) and 30 °C (42.5 %) because small differences in rain timing or cloud thickness can shift the daily maximum by 1 °C; 31 °C receives only modest support (12 %) if breaks in the overcast allow brief stronger insolation. Traders are weighting the consensus of short-range numerical weather predictions that consistently point to suppressed heating rather than a return to hotter, sunnier conditions.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Shanghai am 13. August?
Höchste Temperatur in Shanghai am 13. August?
30°C 43%
29°C 34%
31°C 12%
28°C 9%
NEU
NEU
13. Aug. 2026
24°C or below
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
1%
27°C
2%
28°C
9%
29°C
34%
30°C
43%
31°C
12%
32°C
2%
33°C
1%
34°C or higher
<1%
30°C 43%
29°C 34%
31°C 12%
28°C 9%
NEU
NEU
13. Aug. 2026
24°C or below
$519 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$277 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$321 Vol.
1%
27°C
$771 Vol.
2%
28°C
$1,520 Vol.
9%
29°C
$2,122 Vol.
34%
30°C
$1,222 Vol.
43%
31°C
$1,326 Vol.
12%
32°C
$437 Vol.
2%
33°C
$272 Vol.
1%
34°C or higher
$364 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Persistent cloud cover, showers, and thunderstorms are the main drivers capping Shanghai's peak temperature on August 13 near 29–30 °C.** Official guidance and ensemble forecasts from regional models show daytime maxima in this narrow band amid overcast skies and scattered rain, which sharply reduce solar heating compared with clearer summer days.
Recent patterns reinforce this: similar conditions on August 11–12 produced highs of 29–30 °C, and the same moist, stable air mass is expected to linger. Historical August averages hover around 31–32 °C, but the current setup—enhanced by seasonal monsoon moisture—favors lower peaks.
Market odds cluster tightly on 29 °C (33.5 %) and 30 °C (42.5 %) because small differences in rain timing or cloud thickness can shift the daily maximum by 1 °C; 31 °C receives only modest support (12 %) if breaks in the overcast allow brief stronger insolation. Traders are weighting the consensus of short-range numerical weather predictions that consistently point to suppressed heating rather than a return to hotter, sunnier conditions.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Aug 11, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Volumen
$9,152Enddatum
13. Aug. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 11, 2026, 12:03 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Persistent cloud cover, showers, and thunderstorms are the main drivers capping Shanghai's peak temperature on August 13 near 29–30 °C.** Official guidance and ensemble forecasts from regional models show daytime maxima in this narrow band amid overcast skies and scattered rain, which sharply reduce solar heating compared with clearer summer days.
Recent patterns reinforce this: similar conditions on August 11–12 produced highs of 29–30 °C, and the same moist, stable air mass is expected to linger. Historical August averages hover around 31–32 °C, but the current setup—enhanced by seasonal monsoon moisture—favors lower peaks.
Market odds cluster tightly on 29 °C (33.5 %) and 30 °C (42.5 %) because small differences in rain timing or cloud thickness can shift the daily maximum by 1 °C; 31 °C receives only modest support (12 %) if breaks in the overcast allow brief stronger insolation. Traders are weighting the consensus of short-range numerical weather predictions that consistently point to suppressed heating rather than a return to hotter, sunnier conditions.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$9,152Enddatum
13. Aug. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 11, 2026, 12:03 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Persistent cloud cover, showers, and thunderstorms are the main drivers capping Shanghai's peak temperature on August 13 near 29–30 °C.** Official guidance and ensemble forecasts from regional models show daytime maxima in this narrow band amid overcast skies and scattered rain, which sharply reduce solar heating compared with clearer summer days. Recent patterns reinforce this: similar conditions on August 11–12 produced highs of 29–30 °C, and the same moist, stable air mass is expected to linger. Historical August averages hover around 31–32 °C, but the current setup—enhanced by seasonal monsoon moisture—favors lower peaks. Market odds cluster tightly on 29 °C (33.5 %) and 30 °C (42.5 %) because small differences in rain timing or cloud thickness can shift the daily maximum by 1 °C; 31 °C receives only modest support (12 %) if breaks in the overcast allow brief stronger insolation. Traders are weighting the consensus of short-range numerical weather predictions that consistently point to suppressed heating rather than a return to hotter, sunnier conditions.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Häufig gestellte Fragen