Recent Korea Meteorological Administration guidance points to a 32°C maximum for Incheon on August 15 under mostly cloudy skies and 30% precipitation odds, yet model spreads in cloud thickness, convective timing, and boundary-layer moisture keep 29–30°C outcomes evenly matched at 37.5% implied probability each. A lingering regional heatwave has raised baseline temperatures, but increased cloud cover and possible showers suppress peak insolation while urban heat-island and coastal effects in Incheon add 1–2°C variability. Ensemble runs show the largest uncertainty in afternoon radiative heating rates and any late-day seabreeze convergence. Updated short-range KMA forecasts and high-resolution model output ahead of resolution will refine the exact daily maximum.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Seoul (Incheon) am 15. August?
Höchste Temperatur in Seoul (Incheon) am 15. August?
29°C 37%
30°C 35%
28°C 20%
31°C 7%
NEU
$29,577 Vol.
NEU
$29,577 Vol.
15. Aug. 2026
24°C or below
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
1%
27°C
5%
28°C
20%
29°C
37%
30°C
35%
31°C
7%
32°C
3%
33°C
<1%
34°C or higher
<1%
29°C 37%
30°C 35%
28°C 20%
31°C 7%
NEU
$29,577 Vol.
NEU
$29,577 Vol.
15. Aug. 2026
24°C or below
$379 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$1,341 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$3,166 Vol.
1%
27°C
$5,761 Vol.
5%
28°C
$6,678 Vol.
20%
29°C
$2,453 Vol.
37%
30°C
$3,407 Vol.
35%
31°C
$2,177 Vol.
7%
32°C
$2,300 Vol.
3%
33°C
$1,105 Vol.
<1%
34°C or higher
$810 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Korea Meteorological Administration guidance points to a 32°C maximum for Incheon on August 15 under mostly cloudy skies and 30% precipitation odds, yet model spreads in cloud thickness, convective timing, and boundary-layer moisture keep 29–30°C outcomes evenly matched at 37.5% implied probability each. A lingering regional heatwave has raised baseline temperatures, but increased cloud cover and possible showers suppress peak insolation while urban heat-island and coastal effects in Incheon add 1–2°C variability. Ensemble runs show the largest uncertainty in afternoon radiative heating rates and any late-day seabreeze convergence. Updated short-range KMA forecasts and high-resolution model output ahead of resolution will refine the exact daily maximum.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Aug 13, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Volumen
$29,577Enddatum
15. Aug. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 13, 2026, 12:56 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Korea Meteorological Administration guidance points to a 32°C maximum for Incheon on August 15 under mostly cloudy skies and 30% precipitation odds, yet model spreads in cloud thickness, convective timing, and boundary-layer moisture keep 29–30°C outcomes evenly matched at 37.5% implied probability each. A lingering regional heatwave has raised baseline temperatures, but increased cloud cover and possible showers suppress peak insolation while urban heat-island and coastal effects in Incheon add 1–2°C variability. Ensemble runs show the largest uncertainty in afternoon radiative heating rates and any late-day seabreeze convergence. Updated short-range KMA forecasts and high-resolution model output ahead of resolution will refine the exact daily maximum.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$29,577Enddatum
15. Aug. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 13, 2026, 12:56 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent Korea Meteorological Administration guidance points to a 32°C maximum for Incheon on August 15 under mostly cloudy skies and 30% precipitation odds, yet model spreads in cloud thickness, convective timing, and boundary-layer moisture keep 29–30°C outcomes evenly matched at 37.5% implied probability each. A lingering regional heatwave has raised baseline temperatures, but increased cloud cover and possible showers suppress peak insolation while urban heat-island and coastal effects in Incheon add 1–2°C variability. Ensemble runs show the largest uncertainty in afternoon radiative heating rates and any late-day seabreeze convergence. Updated short-range KMA forecasts and high-resolution model output ahead of resolution will refine the exact daily maximum.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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