**Recent official forecasts position 24–26°C as the most probable range for Seoul/Incheon’s overnight low on August 15.** The Korea Meteorological Administration projects a minimum of 26°C under mostly cloudy skies with a 30% chance of precipitation, while extended outlooks from AccuWeather and timeanddate.com indicate lows near 24–25°C amid lingering summer humidity and limited nocturnal radiative cooling. High atmospheric moisture typical of late August in the region suppresses temperature drops, and urban heat retention in the Seoul-Incheon metro area further anchors overnight readings above the long-term August average low of ~22–23°C. Cloud cover and any scattered showers expected overnight would reduce cooling, keeping the low from falling into the low-20s or below. Trader consensus reflected in the market—25°C (48.5%), 26°C (31%), 24°C (18%)—aligns closely with the latest model consensus and KMA guidance, with lower probabilities assigned to outliers that would require clearer skies or stronger winds than currently forecast. Updated model runs or morning observations on August 15 could still shift the final recorded minimum by 1°C.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertNiedrigste Temperatur in Seoul (Incheon) am 15. August?
Niedrigste Temperatur in Seoul (Incheon) am 15. August?
25°C 41%
26°C 27%
24°C 25%
23°C 2%
NEU
$12,024 Vol.
NEU
$12,024 Vol.
15. Aug. 2026
20°C oder niedriger
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
2%
24°C
19%
25°C
49%
26°C
31%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C oder höher
<1%
25°C 41%
26°C 27%
24°C 25%
23°C 2%
NEU
$12,024 Vol.
NEU
$12,024 Vol.
15. Aug. 2026
20°C oder niedriger
$335 Vol.
<1%
21°C
$331 Vol.
<1%
22°C
$456 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$775 Vol.
2%
24°C
$2,433 Vol.
19%
25°C
$2,364 Vol.
49%
26°C
$1,310 Vol.
31%
27°C
$3,056 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$321 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$301 Vol.
<1%
30°C oder höher
$342 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Recent official forecasts position 24–26°C as the most probable range for Seoul/Incheon’s overnight low on August 15.** The Korea Meteorological Administration projects a minimum of 26°C under mostly cloudy skies with a 30% chance of precipitation, while extended outlooks from AccuWeather and timeanddate.com indicate lows near 24–25°C amid lingering summer humidity and limited nocturnal radiative cooling.
High atmospheric moisture typical of late August in the region suppresses temperature drops, and urban heat retention in the Seoul-Incheon metro area further anchors overnight readings above the long-term August average low of ~22–23°C. Cloud cover and any scattered showers expected overnight would reduce cooling, keeping the low from falling into the low-20s or below.
Trader consensus reflected in the market—25°C (48.5%), 26°C (31%), 24°C (18%)—aligns closely with the latest model consensus and KMA guidance, with lower probabilities assigned to outliers that would require clearer skies or stronger winds than currently forecast. Updated model runs or morning observations on August 15 could still shift the final recorded minimum by 1°C.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Aug 13, 2026, 12:28 AM ET
Volumen
$12,024Enddatum
15. Aug. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 13, 2026, 12:28 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Recent official forecasts position 24–26°C as the most probable range for Seoul/Incheon’s overnight low on August 15.** The Korea Meteorological Administration projects a minimum of 26°C under mostly cloudy skies with a 30% chance of precipitation, while extended outlooks from AccuWeather and timeanddate.com indicate lows near 24–25°C amid lingering summer humidity and limited nocturnal radiative cooling.
High atmospheric moisture typical of late August in the region suppresses temperature drops, and urban heat retention in the Seoul-Incheon metro area further anchors overnight readings above the long-term August average low of ~22–23°C. Cloud cover and any scattered showers expected overnight would reduce cooling, keeping the low from falling into the low-20s or below.
Trader consensus reflected in the market—25°C (48.5%), 26°C (31%), 24°C (18%)—aligns closely with the latest model consensus and KMA guidance, with lower probabilities assigned to outliers that would require clearer skies or stronger winds than currently forecast. Updated model runs or morning observations on August 15 could still shift the final recorded minimum by 1°C.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$12,024Enddatum
15. Aug. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 13, 2026, 12:28 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Recent official forecasts position 24–26°C as the most probable range for Seoul/Incheon’s overnight low on August 15.** The Korea Meteorological Administration projects a minimum of 26°C under mostly cloudy skies with a 30% chance of precipitation, while extended outlooks from AccuWeather and timeanddate.com indicate lows near 24–25°C amid lingering summer humidity and limited nocturnal radiative cooling. High atmospheric moisture typical of late August in the region suppresses temperature drops, and urban heat retention in the Seoul-Incheon metro area further anchors overnight readings above the long-term August average low of ~22–23°C. Cloud cover and any scattered showers expected overnight would reduce cooling, keeping the low from falling into the low-20s or below. Trader consensus reflected in the market—25°C (48.5%), 26°C (31%), 24°C (18%)—aligns closely with the latest model consensus and KMA guidance, with lower probabilities assigned to outliers that would require clearer skies or stronger winds than currently forecast. Updated model runs or morning observations on August 15 could still shift the final recorded minimum by 1°C.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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