Forecast models from agencies including the Turkish State Meteorological Service and international ensembles currently project a daily maximum of 26–28°C for Istanbul on August 16, aligning with the market’s leading outcomes at 26°C (45.5%) and 27°C (26%). Late-summer Mediterranean conditions—warm, subsiding air under high pressure and light northerly winds—favor temperatures near the 27–28°C seasonal average, with limited moisture and cloud cover preventing significant cooling or intensification. Recent runs show stable guidance with only modest day-to-day adjustments, while historical analogs indicate rare deviations beyond ±2°C at this time of year. Updated high-resolution forecasts and satellite observations over the next 48 hours will refine these probabilities ahead of market resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Istanbul am 16. August?
Höchste Temperatur in Istanbul am 16. August?
26°C 46%
27°C 26%
25°C 18%
24°C 5%
NEU
NEU
16. Aug. 2026
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
2%
24°C
5%
25°C
18%
26°C
46%
27°C
26%
28°C
5%
29°C
2%
30°C
3%
31°C
<1%
32°C or higher
2%
26°C 46%
27°C 26%
25°C 18%
24°C 5%
NEU
NEU
16. Aug. 2026
22°C or below
$293 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$126 Vol.
2%
24°C
$3 Vol.
5%
25°C
$54 Vol.
18%
26°C
$596 Vol.
46%
27°C
$237 Vol.
26%
28°C
$87 Vol.
5%
29°C
$76 Vol.
2%
30°C
$140 Vol.
3%
31°C
$281 Vol.
<1%
32°C or higher
$15 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from agencies including the Turkish State Meteorological Service and international ensembles currently project a daily maximum of 26–28°C for Istanbul on August 16, aligning with the market’s leading outcomes at 26°C (45.5%) and 27°C (26%). Late-summer Mediterranean conditions—warm, subsiding air under high pressure and light northerly winds—favor temperatures near the 27–28°C seasonal average, with limited moisture and cloud cover preventing significant cooling or intensification. Recent runs show stable guidance with only modest day-to-day adjustments, while historical analogs indicate rare deviations beyond ±2°C at this time of year. Updated high-resolution forecasts and satellite observations over the next 48 hours will refine these probabilities ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Aug 14, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Volumen
$1,908Enddatum
16. Aug. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 14, 2026, 12:57 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from agencies including the Turkish State Meteorological Service and international ensembles currently project a daily maximum of 26–28°C for Istanbul on August 16, aligning with the market’s leading outcomes at 26°C (45.5%) and 27°C (26%). Late-summer Mediterranean conditions—warm, subsiding air under high pressure and light northerly winds—favor temperatures near the 27–28°C seasonal average, with limited moisture and cloud cover preventing significant cooling or intensification. Recent runs show stable guidance with only modest day-to-day adjustments, while historical analogs indicate rare deviations beyond ±2°C at this time of year. Updated high-resolution forecasts and satellite observations over the next 48 hours will refine these probabilities ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$1,908Enddatum
16. Aug. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 14, 2026, 12:57 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models from agencies including the Turkish State Meteorological Service and international ensembles currently project a daily maximum of 26–28°C for Istanbul on August 16, aligning with the market’s leading outcomes at 26°C (45.5%) and 27°C (26%). Late-summer Mediterranean conditions—warm, subsiding air under high pressure and light northerly winds—favor temperatures near the 27–28°C seasonal average, with limited moisture and cloud cover preventing significant cooling or intensification. Recent runs show stable guidance with only modest day-to-day adjustments, while historical analogs indicate rare deviations beyond ±2°C at this time of year. Updated high-resolution forecasts and satellite observations over the next 48 hours will refine these probabilities ahead of market resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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