Current forecast models from the Met Office and ECMWF point to overnight radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies as the main driver for London's minimum temperature on August 16, with trader sentiment clustered around 17–18°C. Mild Atlantic air masses and light winds limit strong nocturnal drops, while any increase in cloud cover or a passing weak front could suppress the low by 1°C through reduced longwave heat loss. Historical August climatology shows typical minima near 14–15°C, but persistent high pressure this week has elevated baseline values. Model spread on exact cloud timing and urban heat retention creates the tight 17–18°C split, with new runs and observational updates expected to refine the range before resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertNiedrigste Temperatur in London am 16. August?
Niedrigste Temperatur in London am 16. August?
18°C 38%
17°C 36%
16°C 16%
19°C 9%
NEU
NEU
16. Aug. 2026
14°C oder weniger
<1%
15°C
2%
16°C
16%
17°C
36%
18°C
38%
19°C
9%
20°C
1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C oder höher
<1%
18°C 38%
17°C 36%
16°C 16%
19°C 9%
NEU
NEU
16. Aug. 2026
14°C oder weniger
$219 Vol.
<1%
15°C
$368 Vol.
2%
16°C
$1,638 Vol.
16%
17°C
$2,304 Vol.
36%
18°C
$1,740 Vol.
38%
19°C
$759 Vol.
9%
20°C
$145 Vol.
1%
21°C
$1,543 Vol.
<1%
22°C
$177 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$177 Vol.
<1%
24°C oder höher
$177 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast models from the Met Office and ECMWF point to overnight radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies as the main driver for London's minimum temperature on August 16, with trader sentiment clustered around 17–18°C. Mild Atlantic air masses and light winds limit strong nocturnal drops, while any increase in cloud cover or a passing weak front could suppress the low by 1°C through reduced longwave heat loss. Historical August climatology shows typical minima near 14–15°C, but persistent high pressure this week has elevated baseline values. Model spread on exact cloud timing and urban heat retention creates the tight 17–18°C split, with new runs and observational updates expected to refine the range before resolution.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Aug 14, 2026, 1:28 AM ET
Volumen
$9,246Enddatum
16. Aug. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 14, 2026, 1:28 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast models from the Met Office and ECMWF point to overnight radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies as the main driver for London's minimum temperature on August 16, with trader sentiment clustered around 17–18°C. Mild Atlantic air masses and light winds limit strong nocturnal drops, while any increase in cloud cover or a passing weak front could suppress the low by 1°C through reduced longwave heat loss. Historical August climatology shows typical minima near 14–15°C, but persistent high pressure this week has elevated baseline values. Model spread on exact cloud timing and urban heat retention creates the tight 17–18°C split, with new runs and observational updates expected to refine the range before resolution.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$9,246Enddatum
16. Aug. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 14, 2026, 1:28 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecast models from the Met Office and ECMWF point to overnight radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies as the main driver for London's minimum temperature on August 16, with trader sentiment clustered around 17–18°C. Mild Atlantic air masses and light winds limit strong nocturnal drops, while any increase in cloud cover or a passing weak front could suppress the low by 1°C through reduced longwave heat loss. Historical August climatology shows typical minima near 14–15°C, but persistent high pressure this week has elevated baseline values. Model spread on exact cloud timing and urban heat retention creates the tight 17–18°C split, with new runs and observational updates expected to refine the range before resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Häufig gestellte Fragen