Latest Korea Meteorological Administration forecasts indicate a minimum of 24°C for Seoul/Incheon on August 17, aligning with the market's leading 44.5% implied probability for that outcome. Persistent hot, humid summer conditions and expected cloud cover plus scattered showers from August 14–17 limit overnight radiative cooling, keeping lows elevated near seasonal norms of 22–25°C. Model consensus from KMA and international guidance shows stable steering patterns without significant cold-air advection, though minor forecast shifts in precipitation timing or intensity could nudge the realized low toward 23°C (22.5% odds) or 25°C (21.5%). Traders appear to weigh these official guidance thresholds heavily ahead of resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertNiedrigste Temperatur in Seoul (Incheon) am 17. August?
Niedrigste Temperatur in Seoul (Incheon) am 17. August?
24°C 44%
23°C 23%
25°C 22%
26°C 12%
NEU
NEU
17. Aug. 2026
18°C oder darunter
1%
19°C
1%
20°C
1%
21°C
2%
22°C
6%
23°C
23%
24°C
44%
25°C
22%
26°C
12%
27°C
1%
28°C oder höher
1%
24°C 44%
23°C 23%
25°C 22%
26°C 12%
NEU
NEU
17. Aug. 2026
18°C oder darunter
$20 Vol.
1%
19°C
$20 Vol.
1%
20°C
$30 Vol.
1%
21°C
$10 Vol.
2%
22°C
$167 Vol.
6%
23°C
$20 Vol.
23%
24°C
$144 Vol.
44%
25°C
$40 Vol.
22%
26°C
$157 Vol.
12%
27°C
$20 Vol.
1%
28°C oder höher
$20 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest Korea Meteorological Administration forecasts indicate a minimum of 24°C for Seoul/Incheon on August 17, aligning with the market's leading 44.5% implied probability for that outcome. Persistent hot, humid summer conditions and expected cloud cover plus scattered showers from August 14–17 limit overnight radiative cooling, keeping lows elevated near seasonal norms of 22–25°C. Model consensus from KMA and international guidance shows stable steering patterns without significant cold-air advection, though minor forecast shifts in precipitation timing or intensity could nudge the realized low toward 23°C (22.5% odds) or 25°C (21.5%). Traders appear to weigh these official guidance thresholds heavily ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Aug 15, 2026, 12:28 AM ET
Volumen
$648Enddatum
17. Aug. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 15, 2026, 12:28 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest Korea Meteorological Administration forecasts indicate a minimum of 24°C for Seoul/Incheon on August 17, aligning with the market's leading 44.5% implied probability for that outcome. Persistent hot, humid summer conditions and expected cloud cover plus scattered showers from August 14–17 limit overnight radiative cooling, keeping lows elevated near seasonal norms of 22–25°C. Model consensus from KMA and international guidance shows stable steering patterns without significant cold-air advection, though minor forecast shifts in precipitation timing or intensity could nudge the realized low toward 23°C (22.5% odds) or 25°C (21.5%). Traders appear to weigh these official guidance thresholds heavily ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$648Enddatum
17. Aug. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 15, 2026, 12:28 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest Korea Meteorological Administration forecasts indicate a minimum of 24°C for Seoul/Incheon on August 17, aligning with the market's leading 44.5% implied probability for that outcome. Persistent hot, humid summer conditions and expected cloud cover plus scattered showers from August 14–17 limit overnight radiative cooling, keeping lows elevated near seasonal norms of 22–25°C. Model consensus from KMA and international guidance shows stable steering patterns without significant cold-air advection, though minor forecast shifts in precipitation timing or intensity could nudge the realized low toward 23°C (22.5% odds) or 25°C (21.5%). Traders appear to weigh these official guidance thresholds heavily ahead of resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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