Current forecast guidance from the Hong Kong Observatory and regional models points to an overnight minimum near 27–28°C on August 17 amid persistent southwesterly monsoon flow and typical mid-August humidity levels. These conditions limit radiative cooling under mostly cloudy skies with scattered showers, producing the market-implied concentration around 28°C. Historical climatology shows August minima averaging 26–28°C, with recent days recording 26–27°C, reinforcing trader consensus on values clustered near the seasonal norm. Updated model runs through the weekend will refine the exact threshold ahead of official Observatory verification.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertNiedrigste Temperatur in Hongkong am 17. August?
28°C 48%
29°C 24%
27°C 18%
30°C 9%
23°C oder darunter
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
2%
26°C
6%
27°C
18%
28°C
48%
29°C
24%
30°C
9%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C oder höher
<1%
28°C 48%
29°C 24%
27°C 18%
30°C 9%
23°C oder darunter
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
2%
26°C
6%
27°C
18%
28°C
48%
29°C
24%
30°C
9%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C oder höher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Markt eröffnet: Aug 15, 2026, 12:28 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecast guidance from the Hong Kong Observatory and regional models points to an overnight minimum near 27–28°C on August 17 amid persistent southwesterly monsoon flow and typical mid-August humidity levels. These conditions limit radiative cooling under mostly cloudy skies with scattered showers, producing the market-implied concentration around 28°C. Historical climatology shows August minima averaging 26–28°C, with recent days recording 26–27°C, reinforcing trader consensus on values clustered near the seasonal norm. Updated model runs through the weekend will refine the exact threshold ahead of official Observatory verification.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Häufig gestellte Fragen