Forecast models from agencies including the UK Met Office and BBC Weather indicate a likely daily maximum of 21°C in Amsterdam on August 18, 2026, driven by moderate westerly flow, overcast conditions, and scattered light showers that limit daytime heating. Recent model runs show consistency around 20–22°C, with trader probabilities clustered on these outcomes reflecting uncertainty in exact cloud timing, shower intensity, and boundary-layer mixing. Atlantic maritime air and a weak frontal passage are the dominant factors suppressing typical August peaks near 22°C, while localized variations in wind speed or brief clear spells could push readings slightly higher or lower. Updated high-resolution guidance expected within 24 hours will further refine these thresholds ahead of market resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Amsterdam am 18. August?
21°C 37%
20°C 28%
19°C 16%
22°C 14%
14°C oder weniger
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
1%
18°C
9%
19°C
16%
20°C
28%
21°C
30%
22°C
14%
23°C
5%
24°C oder höher
3%
21°C 37%
20°C 28%
19°C 16%
22°C 14%
14°C oder weniger
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
1%
18°C
9%
19°C
16%
20°C
28%
21°C
30%
22°C
14%
23°C
5%
24°C oder höher
3%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Aug 16, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAMResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAMResolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models from agencies including the UK Met Office and BBC Weather indicate a likely daily maximum of 21°C in Amsterdam on August 18, 2026, driven by moderate westerly flow, overcast conditions, and scattered light showers that limit daytime heating. Recent model runs show consistency around 20–22°C, with trader probabilities clustered on these outcomes reflecting uncertainty in exact cloud timing, shower intensity, and boundary-layer mixing. Atlantic maritime air and a weak frontal passage are the dominant factors suppressing typical August peaks near 22°C, while localized variations in wind speed or brief clear spells could push readings slightly higher or lower. Updated high-resolution guidance expected within 24 hours will further refine these thresholds ahead of market resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert

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