Forecast consensus from European models places Amsterdam’s August 16 daytime maximum near 22–23 °C, driving the close 38.5 % / 32.5 % market split between those two outcomes. Northerly flow, moderate cloud cover, and a weak frontal passage are limiting insolation and capping peaks, while small differences in shower timing or boundary-layer mixing can easily shift the daily high by 1 °C. With the event only two days away, updated ECMWF and GFS runs plus KNMI guidance will likely tighten the range; traders are weighting the current model blend most heavily. Historical August variability around 21–24 °C supports the narrow probability spread across the leading bins.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Amsterdam am 16. August?
Höchste Temperatur in Amsterdam am 16. August?
23°C 39%
22°C 32%
24°C 16%
21°C 9%
NEU
NEU
16. Aug. 2026
19°C oder weniger
3%
20°C
3%
21°C
9%
22°C
32%
23°C
39%
24°C
16%
25°C
3%
26°C
1%
27°C
1%
28°C
<1%
29°C oder höher
<1%
23°C 39%
22°C 32%
24°C 16%
21°C 9%
NEU
NEU
16. Aug. 2026
19°C oder weniger
$10 Vol.
3%
20°C
$142 Vol.
3%
21°C
$122 Vol.
9%
22°C
$241 Vol.
32%
23°C
$224 Vol.
39%
24°C
$97 Vol.
16%
25°C
$132 Vol.
3%
26°C
$10 Vol.
1%
27°C
$127 Vol.
1%
28°C
$142 Vol.
<1%
29°C oder höher
$142 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast consensus from European models places Amsterdam’s August 16 daytime maximum near 22–23 °C, driving the close 38.5 % / 32.5 % market split between those two outcomes. Northerly flow, moderate cloud cover, and a weak frontal passage are limiting insolation and capping peaks, while small differences in shower timing or boundary-layer mixing can easily shift the daily high by 1 °C. With the event only two days away, updated ECMWF and GFS runs plus KNMI guidance will likely tighten the range; traders are weighting the current model blend most heavily. Historical August variability around 21–24 °C supports the narrow probability spread across the leading bins.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Aug 14, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Volumen
$1,387Enddatum
16. Aug. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 14, 2026, 12:57 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAMResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast consensus from European models places Amsterdam’s August 16 daytime maximum near 22–23 °C, driving the close 38.5 % / 32.5 % market split between those two outcomes. Northerly flow, moderate cloud cover, and a weak frontal passage are limiting insolation and capping peaks, while small differences in shower timing or boundary-layer mixing can easily shift the daily high by 1 °C. With the event only two days away, updated ECMWF and GFS runs plus KNMI guidance will likely tighten the range; traders are weighting the current model blend most heavily. Historical August variability around 21–24 °C supports the narrow probability spread across the leading bins.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$1,387Enddatum
16. Aug. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 14, 2026, 12:57 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAMResolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecast consensus from European models places Amsterdam’s August 16 daytime maximum near 22–23 °C, driving the close 38.5 % / 32.5 % market split between those two outcomes. Northerly flow, moderate cloud cover, and a weak frontal passage are limiting insolation and capping peaks, while small differences in shower timing or boundary-layer mixing can easily shift the daily high by 1 °C. With the event only two days away, updated ECMWF and GFS runs plus KNMI guidance will likely tighten the range; traders are weighting the current model blend most heavily. Historical August variability around 21–24 °C supports the narrow probability spread across the leading bins.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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