Recent short-range forecasts from models such as those referenced by BBC Weather and timeanddate indicate clearing skies and light northerly winds over Wuhan on August 16, supporting daily maximum temperatures of 32–34 °C under the influence of a subtropical ridge. This aligns with typical mid-August climatology for the region, where highs average near 31–33 °C amid high humidity and monsoon moisture. Trader positioning, with 33 °C at 40 % and 34 °C at 25.5 % implied probability, reflects model consensus on these values while assigning low odds to extremes outside 31–35 °C. Updated runs from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration over the next 24–48 hours will refine steering patterns and any convective inhibition that could alter peak readings.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Wuhan am 16. August?
33°C 40%
34°C 26%
32°C 24%
35°C 6%
27°C or below
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
3%
31°C
6%
32°C
24%
33°C
40%
34°C
26%
35°C
6%
36°C
2%
37°C or higher
<1%
33°C 40%
34°C 26%
32°C 24%
35°C 6%
27°C or below
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
3%
31°C
6%
32°C
24%
33°C
40%
34°C
26%
35°C
6%
36°C
2%
37°C or higher
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Aug 14, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHHResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHHResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent short-range forecasts from models such as those referenced by BBC Weather and timeanddate indicate clearing skies and light northerly winds over Wuhan on August 16, supporting daily maximum temperatures of 32–34 °C under the influence of a subtropical ridge. This aligns with typical mid-August climatology for the region, where highs average near 31–33 °C amid high humidity and monsoon moisture. Trader positioning, with 33 °C at 40 % and 34 °C at 25.5 % implied probability, reflects model consensus on these values while assigning low odds to extremes outside 31–35 °C. Updated runs from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration over the next 24–48 hours will refine steering patterns and any convective inhibition that could alter peak readings.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert


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