Forecast models from global and regional systems indicate a maximum temperature in São Paulo on August 14 near 26–27°C under persistent high-pressure subsidence typical of Southern Hemisphere winter, which limits cloud cover and moisture while allowing greater daytime heating. Recent observations show temperatures climbing from cooler mid-August baselines around 23–25°C, with light winds and stable atmospheric conditions supporting modest warming. Slight divergences among ensembles arise from variable boundary-layer moisture and urban heat-island effects, keeping 26°C and 27°C outcomes closely matched in trader consensus. Official INMET updates and final verification data expected tomorrow will resolve the market.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Sao Paulo am 14. August?
27°C 34%
26°C 30%
28°C 16%
25°C 10%
21°C or below
<1%
22°C
1%
23°C
2%
24°C
4%
25°C
10%
26°C
30%
27°C
34%
28°C
16%
29°C
4%
30°C
2%
31°C or higher
1%
27°C 34%
26°C 30%
28°C 16%
25°C 10%
21°C or below
<1%
22°C
1%
23°C
2%
24°C
4%
25°C
10%
26°C
30%
27°C
34%
28°C
16%
29°C
4%
30°C
2%
31°C or higher
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Aug 12, 2026, 8:55 PM ET
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGRResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGRResolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models from global and regional systems indicate a maximum temperature in São Paulo on August 14 near 26–27°C under persistent high-pressure subsidence typical of Southern Hemisphere winter, which limits cloud cover and moisture while allowing greater daytime heating. Recent observations show temperatures climbing from cooler mid-August baselines around 23–25°C, with light winds and stable atmospheric conditions supporting modest warming. Slight divergences among ensembles arise from variable boundary-layer moisture and urban heat-island effects, keeping 26°C and 27°C outcomes closely matched in trader consensus. Official INMET updates and final verification data expected tomorrow will resolve the market.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert


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