Recent National Weather Service forecasts and ensemble model guidance for coastal Los Angeles highlight a strengthening marine layer and onshore flow, suppressing daytime highs to the mid-70s on August 12. Persistent low clouds and patchy fog overnight are expected to limit solar heating, keeping maximum temperatures near 76°F at stations such as Los Angeles International Airport. This aligns with the market’s heaviest weighting on the 76-77°F and 74-75°F bins. Broader August climatology averages near 85°F, but the current pattern reflects a temporary cooling trend after earlier heat, with limited model spread supporting these moderate outcomes. Updated short-range guidance and morning observations will refine resolution criteria before trading closes.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Los Angeles am 12. August?
74-75°F 45%
76-77°F 43%
72-73°F 6%
68-69°F 5%
67°F oder darunter
1%
68-69°F
5%
70-71°F
4%
72-73°F
6%
74-75°F
33%
76-77°F
43%
78-79°F
5%
80-81°F
3%
82-83°F
5%
84-85°F
5%
86°F oder höher
1%
74-75°F 45%
76-77°F 43%
72-73°F 6%
68-69°F 5%
67°F oder darunter
1%
68-69°F
5%
70-71°F
4%
72-73°F
6%
74-75°F
33%
76-77°F
43%
78-79°F
5%
80-81°F
3%
82-83°F
5%
84-85°F
5%
86°F oder höher
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Los Angeles International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Aug 10, 2026, 9:03 PM ET
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAXResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Los Angeles International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAXResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent National Weather Service forecasts and ensemble model guidance for coastal Los Angeles highlight a strengthening marine layer and onshore flow, suppressing daytime highs to the mid-70s on August 12. Persistent low clouds and patchy fog overnight are expected to limit solar heating, keeping maximum temperatures near 76°F at stations such as Los Angeles International Airport. This aligns with the market’s heaviest weighting on the 76-77°F and 74-75°F bins. Broader August climatology averages near 85°F, but the current pattern reflects a temporary cooling trend after earlier heat, with limited model spread supporting these moderate outcomes. Updated short-range guidance and morning observations will refine resolution criteria before trading closes.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert


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