Forecast models from NOAA and AccuWeather indicate Austin highs near 98–101°F on August 12, driven by a strong subtropical ridge promoting mostly sunny skies, light southerly winds, and minimal cloud cover that favors maximum daytime heating. Recent observations show a return to triple-digit conditions amid typical late-summer humidity and soil moisture levels that limit evaporative cooling, aligning with the market's 56% implied probability for 100–101°F. Scattered thunderstorm chances remain low through the period, though any increased moisture or afternoon convection could trim the high by a degree or two, consistent with the secondary 22.5% weighting on 98–99°F. Historical August averages near 96–98°F provide context for the current elevated readings without major pattern shifts expected before resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Austin am 12. August?
Höchste Temperatur in Austin am 12. August?
100-101°F 56%
98-99°F 25%
102-103°F 14%
96-97°F 4%
NEU
NEU
12. Aug. 2026
91°F oder weniger
<1%
92-93°F
<1%
94-95°F
1%
96-97°F
4%
98-99°F
25%
100-101°F
56%
102-103°F
14%
104-105°F
3%
106-107°F
2%
108-109°F
<1%
110°F oder höher
<1%
100-101°F 56%
98-99°F 25%
102-103°F 14%
96-97°F 4%
NEU
NEU
12. Aug. 2026
91°F oder weniger
$148 Vol.
<1%
92-93°F
$153 Vol.
<1%
94-95°F
$310 Vol.
1%
96-97°F
$4 Vol.
4%
98-99°F
$346 Vol.
25%
100-101°F
$205 Vol.
56%
102-103°F
$355 Vol.
14%
104-105°F
$218 Vol.
3%
106-107°F
$70 Vol.
2%
108-109°F
$134 Vol.
<1%
110°F oder höher
$183 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from NOAA and AccuWeather indicate Austin highs near 98–101°F on August 12, driven by a strong subtropical ridge promoting mostly sunny skies, light southerly winds, and minimal cloud cover that favors maximum daytime heating. Recent observations show a return to triple-digit conditions amid typical late-summer humidity and soil moisture levels that limit evaporative cooling, aligning with the market's 56% implied probability for 100–101°F. Scattered thunderstorm chances remain low through the period, though any increased moisture or afternoon convection could trim the high by a degree or two, consistent with the secondary 22.5% weighting on 98–99°F. Historical August averages near 96–98°F provide context for the current elevated readings without major pattern shifts expected before resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Aug 10, 2026, 9:03 PM ET
Volumen
$2,125Enddatum
12. Aug. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 10, 2026, 9:03 PM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUSResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from NOAA and AccuWeather indicate Austin highs near 98–101°F on August 12, driven by a strong subtropical ridge promoting mostly sunny skies, light southerly winds, and minimal cloud cover that favors maximum daytime heating. Recent observations show a return to triple-digit conditions amid typical late-summer humidity and soil moisture levels that limit evaporative cooling, aligning with the market's 56% implied probability for 100–101°F. Scattered thunderstorm chances remain low through the period, though any increased moisture or afternoon convection could trim the high by a degree or two, consistent with the secondary 22.5% weighting on 98–99°F. Historical August averages near 96–98°F provide context for the current elevated readings without major pattern shifts expected before resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$2,125Enddatum
12. Aug. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 10, 2026, 9:03 PM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUSResolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models from NOAA and AccuWeather indicate Austin highs near 98–101°F on August 12, driven by a strong subtropical ridge promoting mostly sunny skies, light southerly winds, and minimal cloud cover that favors maximum daytime heating. Recent observations show a return to triple-digit conditions amid typical late-summer humidity and soil moisture levels that limit evaporative cooling, aligning with the market's 56% implied probability for 100–101°F. Scattered thunderstorm chances remain low through the period, though any increased moisture or afternoon convection could trim the high by a degree or two, consistent with the secondary 22.5% weighting on 98–99°F. Historical August averages near 96–98°F provide context for the current elevated readings without major pattern shifts expected before resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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