National Weather Service guidance and ensemble models project a high near 99–100°F for Austin on August 11 under a persistent subtropical ridge, mostly sunny skies, and light southerly flow that limits cloud cover while advecting warm air. This late-summer pattern aligns with Austin’s climatological peak, when average highs reach 98°F and triple-digit readings occur several times per month. Recent model runs show minimal disagreement and little moisture or convection expected to cap temperatures, keeping the distribution centered on the 98–101°F range that holds over 90% of market-implied probability. Updated forecasts or any overnight model shift could still adjust odds before resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Austin am 11. August?
98-99°F 56%
100-101°F 38%
96-97°F 4%
102-103°F 4%
$10,139 Vol.
$10,139 Vol.
89°F oder niedriger
<1%
90-91°F
<1%
92-93°F
<1%
94-95°F
<1%
96-97°F
4%
98-99°F
56%
100-101°F
38%
102-103°F
4%
104-105°F
<1%
106-107°F
<1%
108°F oder höher
<1%
98-99°F 56%
100-101°F 38%
96-97°F 4%
102-103°F 4%
$10,139 Vol.
$10,139 Vol.
89°F oder niedriger
<1%
90-91°F
<1%
92-93°F
<1%
94-95°F
<1%
96-97°F
4%
98-99°F
56%
100-101°F
38%
102-103°F
4%
104-105°F
<1%
106-107°F
<1%
108°F oder höher
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Aug 9, 2026, 9:04 PM ET
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUSResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUSResolver
0x69c47De9D...National Weather Service guidance and ensemble models project a high near 99–100°F for Austin on August 11 under a persistent subtropical ridge, mostly sunny skies, and light southerly flow that limits cloud cover while advecting warm air. This late-summer pattern aligns with Austin’s climatological peak, when average highs reach 98°F and triple-digit readings occur several times per month. Recent model runs show minimal disagreement and little moisture or convection expected to cap temperatures, keeping the distribution centered on the 98–101°F range that holds over 90% of market-implied probability. Updated forecasts or any overnight model shift could still adjust odds before resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert

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