Recent KMA guidance and ensemble model runs point to a moderating high-pressure pattern over the Korean Peninsula, with the extreme heat dome from early August weakening as easterly flows introduce slightly cooler marine air near Incheon. Clear to partly cloudy skies and low precipitation odds support strong daytime heating, yet forecast highs cluster near 32–34 °C rather than the prior 37–39 °C peaks, reflecting subtle increases in mid-level moisture and minor model spread on boundary-layer mixing. Incheon’s coastal station often records 1–2 °C cooler than inland Seoul, further anchoring trader consensus around the 32 °C and 33 °C outcomes while leaving room for 34 °C if insolation exceeds expectations.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Seoul (Incheon) am 13. August?
33°C 38%
32°C 35%
31°C 15%
34°C 9%
28°C or below
<1%
29°C
1%
30°C
4%
31°C
15%
32°C
35%
33°C
38%
34°C
9%
35°C
4%
36°C
2%
37°C
<1%
38°C or higher
1%
33°C 38%
32°C 35%
31°C 15%
34°C 9%
28°C or below
<1%
29°C
1%
30°C
4%
31°C
15%
32°C
35%
33°C
38%
34°C
9%
35°C
4%
36°C
2%
37°C
<1%
38°C or higher
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Aug 11, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent KMA guidance and ensemble model runs point to a moderating high-pressure pattern over the Korean Peninsula, with the extreme heat dome from early August weakening as easterly flows introduce slightly cooler marine air near Incheon. Clear to partly cloudy skies and low precipitation odds support strong daytime heating, yet forecast highs cluster near 32–34 °C rather than the prior 37–39 °C peaks, reflecting subtle increases in mid-level moisture and minor model spread on boundary-layer mixing. Incheon’s coastal station often records 1–2 °C cooler than inland Seoul, further anchoring trader consensus around the 32 °C and 33 °C outcomes while leaving room for 34 °C if insolation exceeds expectations.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert

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