Forecast models from agencies including the China Meteorological Administration point to a peak temperature near 37°C in Chengdu on August 13, supported by persistent high-pressure ridging and a regional heat dome that has elevated daytime maxima across Sichuan. Recent July records and early-August observations show sustained anomalies several degrees above the 30–32°C climatological average, with high humidity amplifying perceived heat under mostly clear or partly cloudy skies. Ensemble guidance shows limited spread around 36–38°C, though afternoon convection or minor steering shifts could adjust the daily maximum. Updated model runs and official briefings through August 12 will refine the exact value ahead of market resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Chengdu am 13. August?
37°C 38%
38°C 25%
36°C 21%
35°C 10%
32°C oder darunter
1%
33°C
4%
34°C
3%
35°C
10%
36°C
21%
37°C
38%
38°C
25%
39°C
9%
40°C
4%
41°C
1%
42°C oder höher
<1%
37°C 38%
38°C 25%
36°C 21%
35°C 10%
32°C oder darunter
1%
33°C
4%
34°C
3%
35°C
10%
36°C
21%
37°C
38%
38°C
25%
39°C
9%
40°C
4%
41°C
1%
42°C oder höher
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Aug 11, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUUResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUUResolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models from agencies including the China Meteorological Administration point to a peak temperature near 37°C in Chengdu on August 13, supported by persistent high-pressure ridging and a regional heat dome that has elevated daytime maxima across Sichuan. Recent July records and early-August observations show sustained anomalies several degrees above the 30–32°C climatological average, with high humidity amplifying perceived heat under mostly clear or partly cloudy skies. Ensemble guidance shows limited spread around 36–38°C, though afternoon convection or minor steering shifts could adjust the daily maximum. Updated model runs and official briefings through August 12 will refine the exact value ahead of market resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert

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