Traders assign the highest implied probabilities to a maximum temperature of 36°C or 35°C in Guangzhou on August 16 due to ensemble forecast guidance indicating a typical subtropical summer peak under partly cloudy conditions with scattered thunderstorms. Historical August climatology from the China Meteorological Administration shows average daily highs near 33–34°C, with recent model runs reflecting above-average warmth from persistent high humidity and limited cloud cover that could allow brief spikes toward 37°C. Thunderstorm activity, common in the East Asian monsoon pattern, introduces uncertainty by potentially suppressing afternoon maxima through evaporative cooling or increased cloudiness. Updated short-range guidance expected from official agencies on August 15 will further refine these market-implied odds ahead of resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Guangzhou am 16. August?
Höchste Temperatur in Guangzhou am 16. August?
36°C 45%
35°C 29%
37°C 15%
34°C 10%
NEU
NEU
16. Aug. 2026
29°C oder darunter
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
1%
33°C
3%
34°C
10%
35°C
29%
36°C
45%
37°C
15%
38°C
2%
39°C oder höher
1%
36°C 45%
35°C 29%
37°C 15%
34°C 10%
NEU
NEU
16. Aug. 2026
29°C oder darunter
$367 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$293 Vol.
<1%
31°C
$416 Vol.
<1%
32°C
$553 Vol.
1%
33°C
$380 Vol.
3%
34°C
$273 Vol.
10%
35°C
$554 Vol.
29%
36°C
$1,964 Vol.
45%
37°C
$809 Vol.
15%
38°C
$1,741 Vol.
2%
39°C oder höher
$332 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Traders assign the highest implied probabilities to a maximum temperature of 36°C or 35°C in Guangzhou on August 16 due to ensemble forecast guidance indicating a typical subtropical summer peak under partly cloudy conditions with scattered thunderstorms. Historical August climatology from the China Meteorological Administration shows average daily highs near 33–34°C, with recent model runs reflecting above-average warmth from persistent high humidity and limited cloud cover that could allow brief spikes toward 37°C. Thunderstorm activity, common in the East Asian monsoon pattern, introduces uncertainty by potentially suppressing afternoon maxima through evaporative cooling or increased cloudiness. Updated short-range guidance expected from official agencies on August 15 will further refine these market-implied odds ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Aug 14, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Volumen
$7,682Enddatum
16. Aug. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 14, 2026, 12:58 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGGResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Traders assign the highest implied probabilities to a maximum temperature of 36°C or 35°C in Guangzhou on August 16 due to ensemble forecast guidance indicating a typical subtropical summer peak under partly cloudy conditions with scattered thunderstorms. Historical August climatology from the China Meteorological Administration shows average daily highs near 33–34°C, with recent model runs reflecting above-average warmth from persistent high humidity and limited cloud cover that could allow brief spikes toward 37°C. Thunderstorm activity, common in the East Asian monsoon pattern, introduces uncertainty by potentially suppressing afternoon maxima through evaporative cooling or increased cloudiness. Updated short-range guidance expected from official agencies on August 15 will further refine these market-implied odds ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$7,682Enddatum
16. Aug. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 14, 2026, 12:58 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGGResolver
0x69c47De9D...Traders assign the highest implied probabilities to a maximum temperature of 36°C or 35°C in Guangzhou on August 16 due to ensemble forecast guidance indicating a typical subtropical summer peak under partly cloudy conditions with scattered thunderstorms. Historical August climatology from the China Meteorological Administration shows average daily highs near 33–34°C, with recent model runs reflecting above-average warmth from persistent high humidity and limited cloud cover that could allow brief spikes toward 37°C. Thunderstorm activity, common in the East Asian monsoon pattern, introduces uncertainty by potentially suppressing afternoon maxima through evaporative cooling or increased cloudiness. Updated short-range guidance expected from official agencies on August 15 will further refine these market-implied odds ahead of resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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