Recent Met Office guidance and ensemble model runs project a peak of 26–28°C for London on August 15, with the narrow spread between 26°C and 27°C reflecting modest differences in afternoon insolation, boundary-layer mixing, and any late-day cloud development. Persistent high pressure has supported above-average warmth through mid-August, yet increasing Atlantic influence introduces slight cooling potential via northerly flow or scattered showers that could cap the maximum. Official resolution at London City Airport incorporates the urban heat island, so small shifts in wind direction or timing of any frontal passage can readily move the outcome between the two leading bins; updated model cycles through the weekend will clarify whether the consensus holds near 27°C or trends lower.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in London am 15. August?
Höchste Temperatur in London am 15. August?
27°C 32%
26°C 29%
25°C 16%
28°C 14%
NEU
$10,581 Vol.
NEU
$10,581 Vol.
15. Aug. 2026
20°C or below
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
2%
24°C
7%
25°C
16%
26°C
29%
27°C
32%
28°C
14%
29°C
6%
30°C or higher
2%
27°C 32%
26°C 29%
25°C 16%
28°C 14%
NEU
$10,581 Vol.
NEU
$10,581 Vol.
15. Aug. 2026
20°C or below
$710 Vol.
<1%
21°C
$489 Vol.
<1%
22°C
$351 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$447 Vol.
2%
24°C
$824 Vol.
7%
25°C
$1,372 Vol.
16%
26°C
$1,281 Vol.
29%
27°C
$1,666 Vol.
32%
28°C
$800 Vol.
14%
29°C
$1,230 Vol.
6%
30°C or higher
$1,411 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Met Office guidance and ensemble model runs project a peak of 26–28°C for London on August 15, with the narrow spread between 26°C and 27°C reflecting modest differences in afternoon insolation, boundary-layer mixing, and any late-day cloud development. Persistent high pressure has supported above-average warmth through mid-August, yet increasing Atlantic influence introduces slight cooling potential via northerly flow or scattered showers that could cap the maximum. Official resolution at London City Airport incorporates the urban heat island, so small shifts in wind direction or timing of any frontal passage can readily move the outcome between the two leading bins; updated model cycles through the weekend will clarify whether the consensus holds near 27°C or trends lower.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Aug 13, 2026, 12:55 AM ET
Volumen
$10,581Enddatum
15. Aug. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 13, 2026, 12:55 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Met Office guidance and ensemble model runs project a peak of 26–28°C for London on August 15, with the narrow spread between 26°C and 27°C reflecting modest differences in afternoon insolation, boundary-layer mixing, and any late-day cloud development. Persistent high pressure has supported above-average warmth through mid-August, yet increasing Atlantic influence introduces slight cooling potential via northerly flow or scattered showers that could cap the maximum. Official resolution at London City Airport incorporates the urban heat island, so small shifts in wind direction or timing of any frontal passage can readily move the outcome between the two leading bins; updated model cycles through the weekend will clarify whether the consensus holds near 27°C or trends lower.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$10,581Enddatum
15. Aug. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 13, 2026, 12:55 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent Met Office guidance and ensemble model runs project a peak of 26–28°C for London on August 15, with the narrow spread between 26°C and 27°C reflecting modest differences in afternoon insolation, boundary-layer mixing, and any late-day cloud development. Persistent high pressure has supported above-average warmth through mid-August, yet increasing Atlantic influence introduces slight cooling potential via northerly flow or scattered showers that could cap the maximum. Official resolution at London City Airport incorporates the urban heat island, so small shifts in wind direction or timing of any frontal passage can readily move the outcome between the two leading bins; updated model cycles through the weekend will clarify whether the consensus holds near 27°C or trends lower.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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