Recent short-range ensemble guidance from ECMWF, GFS, and Russia’s Hydrometeorological Center places Moscow’s August 18 maximum near 22–23 °C under mostly cloudy skies and light northwest flow that limits daytime heating. The market’s tight split between 23 °C (38 %) and 22 °C (33.5 %) reflects this narrow model spread and modest boundary-layer moisture that caps stronger warming. A broader European heat dome has intensified farther west and south, yet steering patterns keep Moscow on its cooler periphery, consistent with late-summer climatology where daily highs average near 21 °C. Updated model runs and any shifts in cloud cover or wind direction through the next 48 hours remain the key variables that could tip the outcome.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Moskau am 18. August?
Höchste Temperatur in Moskau am 18. August?
23°C 38%
22°C 34%
21°C 13%
24°C 10%
NEU
NEU
18. Aug. 2026
18°C or below
2%
19°C
2%
20°C
7%
21°C
13%
22°C
34%
23°C
38%
24°C
10%
25°C
3%
26°C
6%
27°C
5%
28°C or higher
3%
23°C 38%
22°C 34%
21°C 13%
24°C 10%
NEU
NEU
18. Aug. 2026
18°C or below
$26 Vol.
2%
19°C
$263 Vol.
2%
20°C
$51 Vol.
7%
21°C
$23 Vol.
13%
22°C
$27 Vol.
34%
23°C
$23 Vol.
38%
24°C
$17 Vol.
10%
25°C
$117 Vol.
3%
26°C
$94 Vol.
6%
27°C
$15 Vol.
5%
28°C or higher
$10 Vol.
3%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent short-range ensemble guidance from ECMWF, GFS, and Russia’s Hydrometeorological Center places Moscow’s August 18 maximum near 22–23 °C under mostly cloudy skies and light northwest flow that limits daytime heating. The market’s tight split between 23 °C (38 %) and 22 °C (33.5 %) reflects this narrow model spread and modest boundary-layer moisture that caps stronger warming. A broader European heat dome has intensified farther west and south, yet steering patterns keep Moscow on its cooler periphery, consistent with late-summer climatology where daily highs average near 21 °C. Updated model runs and any shifts in cloud cover or wind direction through the next 48 hours remain the key variables that could tip the outcome.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Aug 16, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Volumen
$666Enddatum
18. Aug. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 16, 2026, 12:57 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent short-range ensemble guidance from ECMWF, GFS, and Russia’s Hydrometeorological Center places Moscow’s August 18 maximum near 22–23 °C under mostly cloudy skies and light northwest flow that limits daytime heating. The market’s tight split between 23 °C (38 %) and 22 °C (33.5 %) reflects this narrow model spread and modest boundary-layer moisture that caps stronger warming. A broader European heat dome has intensified farther west and south, yet steering patterns keep Moscow on its cooler periphery, consistent with late-summer climatology where daily highs average near 21 °C. Updated model runs and any shifts in cloud cover or wind direction through the next 48 hours remain the key variables that could tip the outcome.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$666Enddatum
18. Aug. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 16, 2026, 12:57 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent short-range ensemble guidance from ECMWF, GFS, and Russia’s Hydrometeorological Center places Moscow’s August 18 maximum near 22–23 °C under mostly cloudy skies and light northwest flow that limits daytime heating. The market’s tight split between 23 °C (38 %) and 22 °C (33.5 %) reflects this narrow model spread and modest boundary-layer moisture that caps stronger warming. A broader European heat dome has intensified farther west and south, yet steering patterns keep Moscow on its cooler periphery, consistent with late-summer climatology where daily highs average near 21 °C. Updated model runs and any shifts in cloud cover or wind direction through the next 48 hours remain the key variables that could tip the outcome.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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