Official Hong Kong Observatory measurements from August 15, 2026, recorded minimum air temperatures of 26.0–26.5°C at multiple stations including Chek Lap Kok and Tai Lung, aligning precisely with the market's near-certain 26°C outcome. August climatology in the region features typical overnight lows near 26–28°C under prevailing subtropical high pressure and humid conditions, with no significant cooling from frontal systems or typhoon influences that day. Traders' overwhelming consensus reflects confidence in these verified observational data rather than forecasts, as the market resolves on official daily minima. Minor shifts could arise only if resolution criteria emphasize a single reference station reading differing by 1°C due to microclimate effects or later data revisions.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertNiedrigste Temperatur in Hongkong am 15. August?
26°C 99.8%
25°C <1%
27°C <1%
22°C oder weniger <1%
$44,610 Vol.
$44,610 Vol.
22°C oder weniger
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
100%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C oder höher
<1%
26°C 99.8%
25°C <1%
27°C <1%
22°C oder weniger <1%
$44,610 Vol.
$44,610 Vol.
22°C oder weniger
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
100%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C oder höher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Markt eröffnet: Aug 13, 2026, 12:28 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Official Hong Kong Observatory measurements from August 15, 2026, recorded minimum air temperatures of 26.0–26.5°C at multiple stations including Chek Lap Kok and Tai Lung, aligning precisely with the market's near-certain 26°C outcome. August climatology in the region features typical overnight lows near 26–28°C under prevailing subtropical high pressure and humid conditions, with no significant cooling from frontal systems or typhoon influences that day. Traders' overwhelming consensus reflects confidence in these verified observational data rather than forecasts, as the market resolves on official daily minima. Minor shifts could arise only if resolution criteria emphasize a single reference station reading differing by 1°C due to microclimate effects or later data revisions.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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