**Official forecasts from the Korea Meteorological Administration position 24°C as the baseline minimum for Seoul/Incheon on August 16, with ongoing rain and high humidity limiting overnight radiative cooling.** KMA short-range guidance shows a 24°C low and 30°C high under continued morning rain transitioning to occasional showers, with 60% precipitation probability—conditions that suppress temperature drops compared to clear nights. Recent days featured similar monsoon-influenced patterns, with August 15 minima around 25°C amid scattered showers, keeping overnight values elevated. Market-implied odds cluster tightly on 23–24°C because traders weigh the authoritative forecast against minor model variability in cloud cover and rainfall timing, which can shift the low by 1°C. Historical August climatology for the region (typical lows 23–24°C) reinforces this range, while the absence of strong cold-air advection or clear-sky radiational cooling keeps probabilities for 22°C or below low. Updated KMA guidance or radar trends on precipitation intensity will be the key near-term driver.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertNiedrigste Temperatur in Seoul (Incheon) am 16. August?
Niedrigste Temperatur in Seoul (Incheon) am 16. August?
24°C 45%
23°C 32%
25°C 11%
22°C 8%
NEU
NEU
16. Aug. 2026
19°C oder darunter
1%
20°C
1%
21°C
2%
22°C
8%
23°C
32%
24°C
45%
25°C
11%
26°C
1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C oder höher
<1%
24°C 45%
23°C 32%
25°C 11%
22°C 8%
NEU
NEU
16. Aug. 2026
19°C oder darunter
$810 Vol.
1%
20°C
$557 Vol.
1%
21°C
$134 Vol.
2%
22°C
$332 Vol.
8%
23°C
$760 Vol.
32%
24°C
$1,645 Vol.
45%
25°C
$1,264 Vol.
11%
26°C
$720 Vol.
1%
27°C
$365 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$361 Vol.
<1%
29°C oder höher
$311 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Official forecasts from the Korea Meteorological Administration position 24°C as the baseline minimum for Seoul/Incheon on August 16, with ongoing rain and high humidity limiting overnight radiative cooling.**
KMA short-range guidance shows a 24°C low and 30°C high under continued morning rain transitioning to occasional showers, with 60% precipitation probability—conditions that suppress temperature drops compared to clear nights. Recent days featured similar monsoon-influenced patterns, with August 15 minima around 25°C amid scattered showers, keeping overnight values elevated.
Market-implied odds cluster tightly on 23–24°C because traders weigh the authoritative forecast against minor model variability in cloud cover and rainfall timing, which can shift the low by 1°C. Historical August climatology for the region (typical lows 23–24°C) reinforces this range, while the absence of strong cold-air advection or clear-sky radiational cooling keeps probabilities for 22°C or below low. Updated KMA guidance or radar trends on precipitation intensity will be the key near-term driver.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Aug 14, 2026, 12:28 AM ET
Volumen
$7,249Enddatum
16. Aug. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 14, 2026, 12:28 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Official forecasts from the Korea Meteorological Administration position 24°C as the baseline minimum for Seoul/Incheon on August 16, with ongoing rain and high humidity limiting overnight radiative cooling.**
KMA short-range guidance shows a 24°C low and 30°C high under continued morning rain transitioning to occasional showers, with 60% precipitation probability—conditions that suppress temperature drops compared to clear nights. Recent days featured similar monsoon-influenced patterns, with August 15 minima around 25°C amid scattered showers, keeping overnight values elevated.
Market-implied odds cluster tightly on 23–24°C because traders weigh the authoritative forecast against minor model variability in cloud cover and rainfall timing, which can shift the low by 1°C. Historical August climatology for the region (typical lows 23–24°C) reinforces this range, while the absence of strong cold-air advection or clear-sky radiational cooling keeps probabilities for 22°C or below low. Updated KMA guidance or radar trends on precipitation intensity will be the key near-term driver.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$7,249Enddatum
16. Aug. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 14, 2026, 12:28 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Official forecasts from the Korea Meteorological Administration position 24°C as the baseline minimum for Seoul/Incheon on August 16, with ongoing rain and high humidity limiting overnight radiative cooling.** KMA short-range guidance shows a 24°C low and 30°C high under continued morning rain transitioning to occasional showers, with 60% precipitation probability—conditions that suppress temperature drops compared to clear nights. Recent days featured similar monsoon-influenced patterns, with August 15 minima around 25°C amid scattered showers, keeping overnight values elevated. Market-implied odds cluster tightly on 23–24°C because traders weigh the authoritative forecast against minor model variability in cloud cover and rainfall timing, which can shift the low by 1°C. Historical August climatology for the region (typical lows 23–24°C) reinforces this range, while the absence of strong cold-air advection or clear-sky radiational cooling keeps probabilities for 22°C or below low. Updated KMA guidance or radar trends on precipitation intensity will be the key near-term driver.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Häufig gestellte Fragen