Recent U.S. economic data, including July CPI in line with expectations and flat producer prices, combined with softer nonfarm payrolls, have eased near-term rate-hike odds and supported modest declines in the 10-year Treasury yield to around 4.65% as of mid-August 2026. With the federal funds rate at 3.50-3.75% and markets pricing limited further tightening, the yield curve reflects persistent inflation above the Fed’s 2% target alongside cooling labor conditions. Traders monitor upcoming CPI releases, FOMC decisions, and growth indicators through year-end for signals on whether yields can test lower ranges near 4.0% or remain anchored higher amid sticky price pressures.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert$224,994 Vol.
3,9 %
11%
3,8 %
5%
3,7 %
3%
3,6 %
6%
3,5 %
4%
3,0 %
3%
2,0 %
2%
1,0 %
2%
$224,994 Vol.
3,9 %
11%
3,8 %
5%
3,7 %
3%
3,6 %
6%
3,5 %
4%
3,0 %
3%
2,0 %
2%
1,0 %
2%
The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specially the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "10 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2025).
Markt eröffnet: Nov 12, 2025, 6:01 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specially the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "10 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2025).
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Recent U.S. economic data, including July CPI in line with expectations and flat producer prices, combined with softer nonfarm payrolls, have eased near-term rate-hike odds and supported modest declines in the 10-year Treasury yield to around 4.65% as of mid-August 2026. With the federal funds rate at 3.50-3.75% and markets pricing limited further tightening, the yield curve reflects persistent inflation above the Fed’s 2% target alongside cooling labor conditions. Traders monitor upcoming CPI releases, FOMC decisions, and growth indicators through year-end for signals on whether yields can test lower ranges near 4.0% or remain anchored higher amid sticky price pressures.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert



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