Recent inflation readings, including July CPI and wholesale data, have kept the 10-year Treasury yield anchored near 4.63-4.70 percent amid expectations that the Federal Reserve will maintain its patient stance on policy rates. Sticky price pressures and resilient economic growth have limited downside moves in yields despite periodic dips on softer data, while oil price volatility and labor market trends remain key swing factors. Market-implied odds reflect trader focus on the narrow window through year-end 2026, with upcoming CPI releases and any FOMC communications likely to drive near-term volatility around the 4.5 percent threshold.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert$225,059 Vol.
3,9 %
12%
3,8 %
5%
3,7 %
3%
3,6 %
6%
3,5 %
1%
3,0 %
3%
2,0 %
2%
1,0 %
2%
$225,059 Vol.
3,9 %
12%
3,8 %
5%
3,7 %
3%
3,6 %
6%
3,5 %
1%
3,0 %
3%
2,0 %
2%
1,0 %
2%
The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specially the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "10 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2025).
Markt eröffnet: Nov 12, 2025, 6:01 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specially the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "10 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2025).
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Recent inflation readings, including July CPI and wholesale data, have kept the 10-year Treasury yield anchored near 4.63-4.70 percent amid expectations that the Federal Reserve will maintain its patient stance on policy rates. Sticky price pressures and resilient economic growth have limited downside moves in yields despite periodic dips on softer data, while oil price volatility and labor market trends remain key swing factors. Market-implied odds reflect trader focus on the narrow window through year-end 2026, with upcoming CPI releases and any FOMC communications likely to drive near-term volatility around the 4.5 percent threshold.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert



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