Persistent above-normal temperatures across much of the U.S. in early August 2026, following July's record national average of 76.9°F, support trader expectations for a moderate number of all-time station highs. A heat dome contributed to dozens of daily and all-time records on August 1 in the West, yet no widespread surge has materialized midway through the month. The tight spread among leading bins (0-20 through 101-150) reflects uncertainty over whether lingering high-pressure patterns will sustain extreme readings long enough to push many long-standing station benchmarks—many dating to the 1930s or earlier—versus a cooldown that limits new marks to low double digits. Upcoming forecasts for continued warmth in key regions could widen the gap if heat intensifies.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertWie viele Allzeithochtemperaturrekorde werden im August 2026 an US-Wetterstationen gebrochen?
Wie viele Allzeithochtemperaturrekorde werden im August 2026 an US-Wetterstationen gebrochen?
21-60 42%
151+ 33%
101-150 29%
61-100 28%
NEU
NEU
15. Sep. 2026
0-20
39%
21-60
42%
61-100
28%
101-150
29%
151+
33%
21-60 42%
151+ 33%
101-150 29%
61-100 28%
NEU
NEU
15. Sep. 2026
0-20
$54 Vol.
39%
21-60
$0 Vol.
42%
61-100
$0 Vol.
28%
101-150
$0 Vol.
29%
151+
$0 Vol.
33%
This market resolves to the number shown in the "BROKEN" column of NOAA's Daily Weather Records tool when filtered to all-time record highs for August 2026. Tied records do not count. The tool is located at https://www.ncdc.noaa.gov/cdo-web/datatools/records.
The Timescale will be All-Time Records", "Highest Max Temperature" for Parameter, and the month of August 2026 for the Date Range. The number in the "BROKEN" column is the resolution value. Only records broken in the United States will resolve this market.
Full documentation of the GHCN-Daily dataset is available at https://www.ncei.noaa.gov/products/land-based-station/global-historical-climatology-network-daily.
The market resolves on September 15, 2026, based on the value shown in the tool at that time. This reading is final. Any corrections, revisions, or additional data that NOAA processes after September 15 will not affect the outcome. September 15 snapshot may not include all August records due to reporting lag but will govern the resolution regardless.Persistent above-normal temperatures across much of the U.S. in early August 2026, following July's record national average of 76.9°F, support trader expectations for a moderate number of all-time station highs. A heat dome contributed to dozens of daily and all-time records on August 1 in the West, yet no widespread surge has materialized midway through the month. The tight spread among leading bins (0-20 through 101-150) reflects uncertainty over whether lingering high-pressure patterns will sustain extreme readings long enough to push many long-standing station benchmarks—many dating to the 1930s or earlier—versus a cooldown that limits new marks to low double digits. Upcoming forecasts for continued warmth in key regions could widen the gap if heat intensifies.
This market resolves to the number shown in the "BROKEN" column of NOAA's Daily Weather Records tool when filtered to all-time record highs for August 2026. Tied records do not count. The tool is located at https://www.ncdc.noaa.gov/cdo-web/datatools/records.
The Timescale will be All-Time Records", "Highest Max Temperature" for Parameter, and the month of August 2026 for the Date Range. The number in the "BROKEN" column is the resolution value. Only records broken in the United States will resolve this market.
Full documentation of the GHCN-Daily dataset is available at https://www.ncei.noaa.gov/products/land-based-station/global-historical-climatology-network-daily.
The market resolves on September 15, 2026, based on the value shown in the tool at that time. This reading is final. Any corrections, revisions, or additional data that NOAA processes after September 15 will not affect the outcome. September 15 snapshot may not include all August records due to reporting lag but will govern the resolution regardless.
The Timescale will be All-Time Records", "Highest Max Temperature" for Parameter, and the month of August 2026 for the Date Range. The number in the "BROKEN" column is the resolution value. Only records broken in the United States will resolve this market.
Full documentation of the GHCN-Daily dataset is available at https://www.ncei.noaa.gov/products/land-based-station/global-historical-climatology-network-daily.
The market resolves on September 15, 2026, based on the value shown in the tool at that time. This reading is final. Any corrections, revisions, or additional data that NOAA processes after September 15 will not affect the outcome. September 15 snapshot may not include all August records due to reporting lag but will govern the resolution regardless.
Markt eröffnet: Jul 30, 2026, 2:51 PM ET
Volumen
$54Enddatum
15. Sep. 2026Markt eröffnet
Jul 30, 2026, 2:51 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market resolves to the number shown in the "BROKEN" column of NOAA's Daily Weather Records tool when filtered to all-time record highs for August 2026. Tied records do not count. The tool is located at https://www.ncdc.noaa.gov/cdo-web/datatools/records.
The Timescale will be All-Time Records", "Highest Max Temperature" for Parameter, and the month of August 2026 for the Date Range. The number in the "BROKEN" column is the resolution value. Only records broken in the United States will resolve this market.
Full documentation of the GHCN-Daily dataset is available at https://www.ncei.noaa.gov/products/land-based-station/global-historical-climatology-network-daily.
The market resolves on September 15, 2026, based on the value shown in the tool at that time. This reading is final. Any corrections, revisions, or additional data that NOAA processes after September 15 will not affect the outcome. September 15 snapshot may not include all August records due to reporting lag but will govern the resolution regardless.Persistent above-normal temperatures across much of the U.S. in early August 2026, following July's record national average of 76.9°F, support trader expectations for a moderate number of all-time station highs. A heat dome contributed to dozens of daily and all-time records on August 1 in the West, yet no widespread surge has materialized midway through the month. The tight spread among leading bins (0-20 through 101-150) reflects uncertainty over whether lingering high-pressure patterns will sustain extreme readings long enough to push many long-standing station benchmarks—many dating to the 1930s or earlier—versus a cooldown that limits new marks to low double digits. Upcoming forecasts for continued warmth in key regions could widen the gap if heat intensifies.
This market resolves to the number shown in the "BROKEN" column of NOAA's Daily Weather Records tool when filtered to all-time record highs for August 2026. Tied records do not count. The tool is located at https://www.ncdc.noaa.gov/cdo-web/datatools/records.
The Timescale will be All-Time Records", "Highest Max Temperature" for Parameter, and the month of August 2026 for the Date Range. The number in the "BROKEN" column is the resolution value. Only records broken in the United States will resolve this market.
Full documentation of the GHCN-Daily dataset is available at https://www.ncei.noaa.gov/products/land-based-station/global-historical-climatology-network-daily.
The market resolves on September 15, 2026, based on the value shown in the tool at that time. This reading is final. Any corrections, revisions, or additional data that NOAA processes after September 15 will not affect the outcome. September 15 snapshot may not include all August records due to reporting lag but will govern the resolution regardless.
The Timescale will be All-Time Records", "Highest Max Temperature" for Parameter, and the month of August 2026 for the Date Range. The number in the "BROKEN" column is the resolution value. Only records broken in the United States will resolve this market.
Full documentation of the GHCN-Daily dataset is available at https://www.ncei.noaa.gov/products/land-based-station/global-historical-climatology-network-daily.
The market resolves on September 15, 2026, based on the value shown in the tool at that time. This reading is final. Any corrections, revisions, or additional data that NOAA processes after September 15 will not affect the outcome. September 15 snapshot may not include all August records due to reporting lag but will govern the resolution regardless.
Volumen
$54Enddatum
15. Sep. 2026Markt eröffnet
Jul 30, 2026, 2:51 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Persistent above-normal temperatures across much of the U.S. in early August 2026, following July's record national average of 76.9°F, support trader expectations for a moderate number of all-time station highs. A heat dome contributed to dozens of daily and all-time records on August 1 in the West, yet no widespread surge has materialized midway through the month. The tight spread among leading bins (0-20 through 101-150) reflects uncertainty over whether lingering high-pressure patterns will sustain extreme readings long enough to push many long-standing station benchmarks—many dating to the 1930s or earlier—versus a cooldown that limits new marks to low double digits. Upcoming forecasts for continued warmth in key regions could widen the gap if heat intensifies.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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