Jeffrey Epstein died in federal custody in August 2019, with the official autopsy ruling suicide by hanging and subsequent identification by medical examiners and family. No verifiable sightings, DNA matches, or official confirmations have emerged in the intervening years, including through ongoing legal proceedings involving associates and document releases. Traders assign 97.8% probability to “No” on confirmation before 2027 due to this established record and absence of credible contrary evidence. Late-breaking developments that could still shift odds include authenticated new forensic proof, a verified public appearance, or an unexpected government disclosure within the resolution window, though such events remain outside established facts.