Powell's 14-year term as a Federal Reserve governor runs through January 31, 2028, following the end of his chairmanship on May 15, 2026, when Kevin Warsh assumed the role. Trader sentiment on his Board departure centers on his April 2026 statement committing to remain "for a period of time to be determined" pending resolution of the inspector general's review of the Fed's headquarters renovation project. With no major updates on that probe or signals of early resignation as of mid-August 2026, markets price probabilities around his full term or potential political pressures from the administration. Key near-term catalysts include the August 27–29 Jackson Hole symposium and subsequent FOMC meetings, where any comments on tenure or policy independence could shift implied odds tied to the 2028 expiration.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert$434,347 Vol.
31. Dezember
21%
$434,347 Vol.
31. Dezember
21%
This market is not limited to Jerome Powell’s current position as chair of the Federal Reserve. If Jerome Powell ceases to be Chair of the Federal Reserve, but remains a member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors, this will not qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the U.S. Government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.
Markt eröffnet: Jan 5, 2026, 4:12 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...This market is not limited to Jerome Powell’s current position as chair of the Federal Reserve. If Jerome Powell ceases to be Chair of the Federal Reserve, but remains a member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors, this will not qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the U.S. Government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Powell's 14-year term as a Federal Reserve governor runs through January 31, 2028, following the end of his chairmanship on May 15, 2026, when Kevin Warsh assumed the role. Trader sentiment on his Board departure centers on his April 2026 statement committing to remain "for a period of time to be determined" pending resolution of the inspector general's review of the Fed's headquarters renovation project. With no major updates on that probe or signals of early resignation as of mid-August 2026, markets price probabilities around his full term or potential political pressures from the administration. Key near-term catalysts include the August 27–29 Jackson Hole symposium and subsequent FOMC meetings, where any comments on tenure or policy independence could shift implied odds tied to the 2028 expiration.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert

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