Recent model runs from the Global Forecast System and European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts show Beijing's August 25 minimum temperature centering on 23–25 °C, producing the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around those outcomes. Differentiating factors include the strength of nocturnal radiative cooling under variable cloud cover, weak southerly flow advecting slightly warmer, more humid air, and the urban heat-island effect that can raise observed lows by 1–2 °C relative to rural stations. With the China Meteorological Administration’s next update expected within 12 hours and ensemble spread still spanning roughly 21–27 °C, traders are weighting the most recent surface observations and boundary-layer moisture trends to refine resolution around the 24 °C threshold.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertNiedrigste Temperatur in Peking am 25. August?
Niedrigste Temperatur in Peking am 25. August?
24°C 38%
23°C 29%
26°C 27%
27°C 27%
NEU
NEU
25. Aug. 2026
21°C or below
2%
22°C
7%
23°C
29%
24°C
38%
25°C
26%
26°C
27%
27°C
27%
28°C
9%
29°C
1%
30°C
<1%
31°C or higher
1%
24°C 38%
23°C 29%
26°C 27%
27°C 27%
NEU
NEU
25. Aug. 2026
21°C or below
$75 Vol.
2%
22°C
$96 Vol.
7%
23°C
$0 Vol.
29%
24°C
$0 Vol.
38%
25°C
$0 Vol.
26%
26°C
$0 Vol.
27%
27°C
$0 Vol.
27%
28°C
$103 Vol.
9%
29°C
$11 Vol.
1%
30°C
$658 Vol.
<1%
31°C or higher
$247 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model runs from the Global Forecast System and European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts show Beijing's August 25 minimum temperature centering on 23–25 °C, producing the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around those outcomes. Differentiating factors include the strength of nocturnal radiative cooling under variable cloud cover, weak southerly flow advecting slightly warmer, more humid air, and the urban heat-island effect that can raise observed lows by 1–2 °C relative to rural stations. With the China Meteorological Administration’s next update expected within 12 hours and ensemble spread still spanning roughly 21–27 °C, traders are weighting the most recent surface observations and boundary-layer moisture trends to refine resolution around the 24 °C threshold.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Aug 23, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volumen
$1,190Enddatum
25. Aug. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 23, 2026, 12:30 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaaResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model runs from the Global Forecast System and European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts show Beijing's August 25 minimum temperature centering on 23–25 °C, producing the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around those outcomes. Differentiating factors include the strength of nocturnal radiative cooling under variable cloud cover, weak southerly flow advecting slightly warmer, more humid air, and the urban heat-island effect that can raise observed lows by 1–2 °C relative to rural stations. With the China Meteorological Administration’s next update expected within 12 hours and ensemble spread still spanning roughly 21–27 °C, traders are weighting the most recent surface observations and boundary-layer moisture trends to refine resolution around the 24 °C threshold.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$1,190Enddatum
25. Aug. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 23, 2026, 12:30 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaaResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent model runs from the Global Forecast System and European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts show Beijing's August 25 minimum temperature centering on 23–25 °C, producing the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around those outcomes. Differentiating factors include the strength of nocturnal radiative cooling under variable cloud cover, weak southerly flow advecting slightly warmer, more humid air, and the urban heat-island effect that can raise observed lows by 1–2 °C relative to rural stations. With the China Meteorological Administration’s next update expected within 12 hours and ensemble spread still spanning roughly 21–27 °C, traders are weighting the most recent surface observations and boundary-layer moisture trends to refine resolution around the 24 °C threshold.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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