Recent heavy rainfall across Hong Kong, already exceeding typical July totals with frequent thunderstorms, has increased cloud cover and humidity that limit overnight radiative cooling and keep minimum temperatures clustered near 24–26°C. Subtropical summer conditions, including high dew points near 26°C and light winds, further constrain cooling rates according to Hong Kong Observatory guidance and multi-model forecasts. Seasonal outlooks for normal-to-above-normal temperatures align with climatological July lows around 26–27°C, while modest model spread from possible weak disturbances or clearer breaks introduces the 1–2°C uncertainty reflected in the tight 24–26°C market probabilities. Updated official forecasts through July 26 will refine these near-term drivers.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertNiedrigste Temperatur in Hongkong am 26. Juli?
Niedrigste Temperatur in Hongkong am 26. Juli?
25°C 37%
26°C 37%
31°C oder höher 30%
24°C 27%
NEU
NEU
26. Juli 2026
21°C oder darunter
24%
22°C
15%
23°C
12%
24°C
27%
25°C
37%
26°C
30%
27°C
18%
28°C
14%
29°C
14%
30°C
14%
31°C oder höher
30%
25°C 37%
26°C 37%
31°C oder höher 30%
24°C 27%
NEU
NEU
26. Juli 2026
21°C oder darunter
$32 Vol.
24%
22°C
$32 Vol.
15%
23°C
$0 Vol.
12%
24°C
$0 Vol.
27%
25°C
$5 Vol.
37%
26°C
$14 Vol.
30%
27°C
$0 Vol.
18%
28°C
$0 Vol.
14%
29°C
$0 Vol.
14%
30°C
$32 Vol.
14%
31°C oder höher
$32 Vol.
30%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 26 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent heavy rainfall across Hong Kong, already exceeding typical July totals with frequent thunderstorms, has increased cloud cover and humidity that limit overnight radiative cooling and keep minimum temperatures clustered near 24–26°C. Subtropical summer conditions, including high dew points near 26°C and light winds, further constrain cooling rates according to Hong Kong Observatory guidance and multi-model forecasts. Seasonal outlooks for normal-to-above-normal temperatures align with climatological July lows around 26–27°C, while modest model spread from possible weak disturbances or clearer breaks introduces the 1–2°C uncertainty reflected in the tight 24–26°C market probabilities. Updated official forecasts through July 26 will refine these near-term drivers.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 26 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Markt eröffnet: Jul 24, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volumen
$146Enddatum
26. Juli 2026Markt eröffnet
Jul 24, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 26 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent heavy rainfall across Hong Kong, already exceeding typical July totals with frequent thunderstorms, has increased cloud cover and humidity that limit overnight radiative cooling and keep minimum temperatures clustered near 24–26°C. Subtropical summer conditions, including high dew points near 26°C and light winds, further constrain cooling rates according to Hong Kong Observatory guidance and multi-model forecasts. Seasonal outlooks for normal-to-above-normal temperatures align with climatological July lows around 26–27°C, while modest model spread from possible weak disturbances or clearer breaks introduces the 1–2°C uncertainty reflected in the tight 24–26°C market probabilities. Updated official forecasts through July 26 will refine these near-term drivers.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 26 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$146Enddatum
26. Juli 2026Markt eröffnet
Jul 24, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent heavy rainfall across Hong Kong, already exceeding typical July totals with frequent thunderstorms, has increased cloud cover and humidity that limit overnight radiative cooling and keep minimum temperatures clustered near 24–26°C. Subtropical summer conditions, including high dew points near 26°C and light winds, further constrain cooling rates according to Hong Kong Observatory guidance and multi-model forecasts. Seasonal outlooks for normal-to-above-normal temperatures align with climatological July lows around 26–27°C, while modest model spread from possible weak disturbances or clearer breaks introduces the 1–2°C uncertainty reflected in the tight 24–26°C market probabilities. Updated official forecasts through July 26 will refine these near-term drivers.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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