Current forecasts from sources like AccuWeather place NYC overnight lows for late June 2026 in the upper 60s to low 70s, consistent with seasonal averages around 70–72°F and a prevailing warm air mass without incoming cooler air. This drives the market's emphasis on 68–69°F (highest implied probability at 41%), followed closely by 66–67°F and 70–71°F bins, reflecting modest uncertainty from variables like cloud cover, humidity, and urban heat retention that moderate radiative cooling overnight. Recent model consensus shows no significant cold fronts or clear-sky extremes expected by June 29, aligning trader sentiment with typical late-June climatology while leaving room for minor forecast adjustments before resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertNiedrigste Temperatur in NYC am 29. Juni?
66-67°F 34%
68-69°F 30%
70-71°F 11%
64-65°F 10%
57°F oder darunter
<1%
58-59°F
1%
60-61°F
1%
62-63°F
2%
64-65°F
10%
66-67°F
38%
68-69°F
34%
70-71°F
11%
72-73°F
7%
74-75°F
3%
76°F oder höher
1%
66-67°F 34%
68-69°F 30%
70-71°F 11%
64-65°F 10%
57°F oder darunter
<1%
58-59°F
1%
60-61°F
1%
62-63°F
2%
64-65°F
10%
66-67°F
38%
68-69°F
34%
70-71°F
11%
72-73°F
7%
74-75°F
3%
76°F oder höher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Jun 27, 2026, 9:30 PM ET
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecasts from sources like AccuWeather place NYC overnight lows for late June 2026 in the upper 60s to low 70s, consistent with seasonal averages around 70–72°F and a prevailing warm air mass without incoming cooler air. This drives the market's emphasis on 68–69°F (highest implied probability at 41%), followed closely by 66–67°F and 70–71°F bins, reflecting modest uncertainty from variables like cloud cover, humidity, and urban heat retention that moderate radiative cooling overnight. Recent model consensus shows no significant cold fronts or clear-sky extremes expected by June 29, aligning trader sentiment with typical late-June climatology while leaving room for minor forecast adjustments before resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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Vorsicht bei externen Links.
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