**NWS guidance for New York City points to an overnight low near 68°F on June 28 under partly cloudy skies with light southeast winds becoming calm, supporting the market’s leading 68-69°F band.** This reflects limited radiational cooling amid moderate humidity and the urban heat island effect, which typically prevents deeper drops than surrounding rural areas. Nearby outcomes (66-67°F through 72-73°F) capture model spread in cloud cover, boundary-layer mixing, and subtle marine-layer influence from the Atlantic, which can raise minima by a degree or two. Late-June climatology favors lows in the mid-to-upper 60s, but recent forecast consistency around 68°F and the absence of strong cold advection have kept probabilities clustered rather than skewed toward extremes. Updated model runs tonight and tomorrow morning will refine these small but market-sensitive differences before resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertNiedrigste Temperatur in NYC am 28. Juni?
20-21 °C 29%
72-73°F 22%
70-71°F 15%
66-67°F 12%
59°F oder darunter
<1%
60-61°F
2%
62-63°F
3%
64-65°F
10%
66-67°F
12%
20-21 °C
29%
70-71°F
15%
72-73°F
22%
74-75°F
10%
76-77°F
3%
78°F oder höher
1%
20-21 °C 29%
72-73°F 22%
70-71°F 15%
66-67°F 12%
59°F oder darunter
<1%
60-61°F
2%
62-63°F
3%
64-65°F
10%
66-67°F
12%
20-21 °C
29%
70-71°F
15%
72-73°F
22%
74-75°F
10%
76-77°F
3%
78°F oder höher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Jun 26, 2026, 9:30 PM ET
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x69c47De9D...**NWS guidance for New York City points to an overnight low near 68°F on June 28 under partly cloudy skies with light southeast winds becoming calm, supporting the market’s leading 68-69°F band.** This reflects limited radiational cooling amid moderate humidity and the urban heat island effect, which typically prevents deeper drops than surrounding rural areas. Nearby outcomes (66-67°F through 72-73°F) capture model spread in cloud cover, boundary-layer mixing, and subtle marine-layer influence from the Atlantic, which can raise minima by a degree or two. Late-June climatology favors lows in the mid-to-upper 60s, but recent forecast consistency around 68°F and the absence of strong cold advection have kept probabilities clustered rather than skewed toward extremes. Updated model runs tonight and tomorrow morning will refine these small but market-sensitive differences before resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Häufig gestellte Fragen