**Trader consensus clusters tightly around 21–22°C as the likely overnight minimum in Taipei on October 14, 2026, driven by converging GFS and other model guidance showing partly to mostly cloudy skies, light easterly winds of 5–10 mph, and high humidity near 85–90% that limits radiative cooling.** Overnight temperatures have held near 22–23°C (72–73°F) through late evening per multiple station reports, with the daily low typically occurring pre-dawn. Cloud cover and urban heat effects reduce the chance of sharper drops, while any clearer intervals could allow brief additional cooling toward 21°C. Official Central Weather Administration observations will determine the precise minimum for market resolution.