**High-pressure dominance and clear overnight conditions are anchoring trader expectations for a Warsaw minimum near 10°C on October 1.** Stable anticyclonic flow (surface pressure ~1032 hPa) with light easterly to southeasterly winds and partly cloudy to clearing skies overnight has promoted efficient radiative cooling after daytime highs near 20°C. Multiple model runs and observational guidance converge on an overnight low of 10–11°C, with limited model spread around the precise minimum. This places 10°C and 9°C as the closest outcomes, while colder thresholds below 8°C remain less favored absent a stronger cold-air advection or clearer radiative setup. Dry air and negligible precipitation further support the narrow temperature range.