Robert Charles leads the Maine Republican gubernatorial primary market at 53% implied probability, reflecting his early polling edge from February surveys showing 28% support among GOP voters, bolstered by national experience as former U.S. Assistant Secretary of State and targeted outreach to older voters via social media. Ben Midgley's 24% share surged after winning the Maine GOP straw poll on April 20 despite distribution issues, while his May 7 second-choice alliance with David Jones aims to consolidate anti-Charles votes under ranked-choice voting rules ahead of the June 9 primary. Garrett Mason's 10.5% draws from his prior 2018 runner-up finish as ex-Senate Majority Leader, though Jonathan Bush lags at 7.2% despite strong fundraising over $2 million. Charles' recent debate absences have fueled scrutiny, but trader consensus prioritizes his frontrunner momentum in the crowded nine-candidate field.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertRobert Charles 53%
Ben Midgley 24%
Garrett Mason 13%
Jonathan Bush 7.3%
$28,159 Vol.
$28,159 Vol.
Robert Charles
53%
Ben Midgley
24%
Garrett Mason
13%
Jonathan Bush
7%
Ken Capron
2%
David Jones
1%
James Libby
1%
Robert Wessels
1%
Owen McCarthy
1%
Robert Charles 53%
Ben Midgley 24%
Garrett Mason 13%
Jonathan Bush 7.3%
$28,159 Vol.
$28,159 Vol.
Robert Charles
53%
Ben Midgley
24%
Garrett Mason
13%
Jonathan Bush
7%
Ken Capron
2%
David Jones
1%
James Libby
1%
Robert Wessels
1%
Owen McCarthy
1%
If no 2026 Maine Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Maine Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Markt eröffnet: Dec 10, 2025, 7:12 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If no 2026 Maine Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Maine Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Robert Charles leads the Maine Republican gubernatorial primary market at 53% implied probability, reflecting his early polling edge from February surveys showing 28% support among GOP voters, bolstered by national experience as former U.S. Assistant Secretary of State and targeted outreach to older voters via social media. Ben Midgley's 24% share surged after winning the Maine GOP straw poll on April 20 despite distribution issues, while his May 7 second-choice alliance with David Jones aims to consolidate anti-Charles votes under ranked-choice voting rules ahead of the June 9 primary. Garrett Mason's 10.5% draws from his prior 2018 runner-up finish as ex-Senate Majority Leader, though Jonathan Bush lags at 7.2% despite strong fundraising over $2 million. Charles' recent debate absences have fueled scrutiny, but trader consensus prioritizes his frontrunner momentum in the crowded nine-candidate field.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Häufig gestellte Fragen