Incumbent APC Governor Mohammed Umaru Bago secured his party's 2027 nomination unopposed via consensus in May, bolstered by endorsements for agricultural and infrastructure gains, yet trader odds remain tight across frontrunners including Abubakar Suleiman (PDP) and Mohammed Kpautagi (ADC). Recent primaries produced opposition flagbearers, while defections from APC ranks and formation of groups like the Niger Rescue Movement aligned with ADC have introduced uncertainty. Christian stakeholders' objections to retaining a Muslim-Muslim ticket with Deputy Yakubu Garba add pressure on religious balance in a diverse state. These factors, alongside ongoing alliance shifts ahead of the vote, sustain the closely contested implied probabilities reflected in current pricing.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertWahlsieger bei den Gouverneurswahlen in Niger, Nigeria
Wahlsieger bei den Gouverneurswahlen in Niger, Nigeria
Mohammed Umaru Bago 43%
Abubakar Suleiman 43%
Mohammed Kpautagi 43%
NEU
NEU
6. Feb. 2027
Mohammed Umaru Bago
43%
Abubakar Suleiman
43%
Mohammed Kpautagi
43%
Mohammed Umaru Bago 43%
Abubakar Suleiman 43%
Mohammed Kpautagi 43%
NEU
NEU
6. Feb. 2027
Mohammed Umaru Bago
$0 Vol.
43%
Abubakar Suleiman
$0 Vol.
43%
Mohammed Kpautagi
$0 Vol.
43%
Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Niger State, Nigeria, on February 6, 2027. If the election is officially rescheduled, this market will resolve based on the election held to choose the Governor for the term beginning in 2027.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Niger State gubernatorial election. Any interim, acting, or caretaker Governor will not qualify.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
To be elected Governor, a candidate must satisfy the requirements under Nigerian law, including receiving the highest number of votes cast and the constitutionally required geographic distribution of votes. If no candidate wins the election outright, this market will remain open to account for any further election or runoff, provided this occurs before the resolution deadline. If no candidate has been officially elected by the resolution deadline, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results published by Nigeria's Independent National Electoral Commission (INEC) and Nigerian government sources.Incumbent APC Governor Mohammed Umaru Bago secured his party's 2027 nomination unopposed via consensus in May, bolstered by endorsements for agricultural and infrastructure gains, yet trader odds remain tight across frontrunners including Abubakar Suleiman (PDP) and Mohammed Kpautagi (ADC). Recent primaries produced opposition flagbearers, while defections from APC ranks and formation of groups like the Niger Rescue Movement aligned with ADC have introduced uncertainty. Christian stakeholders' objections to retaining a Muslim-Muslim ticket with Deputy Yakubu Garba add pressure on religious balance in a diverse state. These factors, alongside ongoing alliance shifts ahead of the vote, sustain the closely contested implied probabilities reflected in current pricing.
Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Niger State, Nigeria, on February 6, 2027. If the election is officially rescheduled, this market will resolve based on the election held to choose the Governor for the term beginning in 2027.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Niger State gubernatorial election. Any interim, acting, or caretaker Governor will not qualify.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
To be elected Governor, a candidate must satisfy the requirements under Nigerian law, including receiving the highest number of votes cast and the constitutionally required geographic distribution of votes. If no candidate wins the election outright, this market will remain open to account for any further election or runoff, provided this occurs before the resolution deadline. If no candidate has been officially elected by the resolution deadline, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results published by Nigeria's Independent National Electoral Commission (INEC) and Nigerian government sources.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Niger State gubernatorial election. Any interim, acting, or caretaker Governor will not qualify.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
To be elected Governor, a candidate must satisfy the requirements under Nigerian law, including receiving the highest number of votes cast and the constitutionally required geographic distribution of votes. If no candidate wins the election outright, this market will remain open to account for any further election or runoff, provided this occurs before the resolution deadline. If no candidate has been officially elected by the resolution deadline, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results published by Nigeria's Independent National Electoral Commission (INEC) and Nigerian government sources.
Markt eröffnet: Aug 21, 2026, 4:32 PM ET
Volumen
$0Enddatum
6. Feb. 2027Markt eröffnet
Aug 21, 2026, 4:32 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Niger State, Nigeria, on February 6, 2027. If the election is officially rescheduled, this market will resolve based on the election held to choose the Governor for the term beginning in 2027.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Niger State gubernatorial election. Any interim, acting, or caretaker Governor will not qualify.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
To be elected Governor, a candidate must satisfy the requirements under Nigerian law, including receiving the highest number of votes cast and the constitutionally required geographic distribution of votes. If no candidate wins the election outright, this market will remain open to account for any further election or runoff, provided this occurs before the resolution deadline. If no candidate has been officially elected by the resolution deadline, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results published by Nigeria's Independent National Electoral Commission (INEC) and Nigerian government sources.Incumbent APC Governor Mohammed Umaru Bago secured his party's 2027 nomination unopposed via consensus in May, bolstered by endorsements for agricultural and infrastructure gains, yet trader odds remain tight across frontrunners including Abubakar Suleiman (PDP) and Mohammed Kpautagi (ADC). Recent primaries produced opposition flagbearers, while defections from APC ranks and formation of groups like the Niger Rescue Movement aligned with ADC have introduced uncertainty. Christian stakeholders' objections to retaining a Muslim-Muslim ticket with Deputy Yakubu Garba add pressure on religious balance in a diverse state. These factors, alongside ongoing alliance shifts ahead of the vote, sustain the closely contested implied probabilities reflected in current pricing.
Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Niger State, Nigeria, on February 6, 2027. If the election is officially rescheduled, this market will resolve based on the election held to choose the Governor for the term beginning in 2027.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Niger State gubernatorial election. Any interim, acting, or caretaker Governor will not qualify.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
To be elected Governor, a candidate must satisfy the requirements under Nigerian law, including receiving the highest number of votes cast and the constitutionally required geographic distribution of votes. If no candidate wins the election outright, this market will remain open to account for any further election or runoff, provided this occurs before the resolution deadline. If no candidate has been officially elected by the resolution deadline, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results published by Nigeria's Independent National Electoral Commission (INEC) and Nigerian government sources.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Niger State gubernatorial election. Any interim, acting, or caretaker Governor will not qualify.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
To be elected Governor, a candidate must satisfy the requirements under Nigerian law, including receiving the highest number of votes cast and the constitutionally required geographic distribution of votes. If no candidate wins the election outright, this market will remain open to account for any further election or runoff, provided this occurs before the resolution deadline. If no candidate has been officially elected by the resolution deadline, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results published by Nigeria's Independent National Electoral Commission (INEC) and Nigerian government sources.
Volumen
$0Enddatum
6. Feb. 2027Markt eröffnet
Aug 21, 2026, 4:32 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Incumbent APC Governor Mohammed Umaru Bago secured his party's 2027 nomination unopposed via consensus in May, bolstered by endorsements for agricultural and infrastructure gains, yet trader odds remain tight across frontrunners including Abubakar Suleiman (PDP) and Mohammed Kpautagi (ADC). Recent primaries produced opposition flagbearers, while defections from APC ranks and formation of groups like the Niger Rescue Movement aligned with ADC have introduced uncertainty. Christian stakeholders' objections to retaining a Muslim-Muslim ticket with Deputy Yakubu Garba add pressure on religious balance in a diverse state. These factors, alongside ongoing alliance shifts ahead of the vote, sustain the closely contested implied probabilities reflected in current pricing.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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