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Politik·Afrika

Gewinner der nigerianischen Präsidentschaftswahl

icon for Gewinner der nigerianischen Präsidentschaftswahl
Politik·Afrika

Gewinner der nigerianischen Präsidentschaftswahl

Bola Tinubu 71%

Peter Obi 24%

Rotimi Amaechi 4.7%

Rabiu Kwankwaso 2.0%

Polymarket

$31,545 Vol.

Bola Tinubu 71%

Peter Obi 24%

Rotimi Amaechi 4.7%

Rabiu Kwankwaso 2.0%

Polymarket

$31,545 Vol.

icon for Bola Tinubu

Bola Tinubu

$15,682 Vol.

71%

icon for Peter Obi

Peter Obi

$6,442 Vol.

24%

icon for Rotimi Amaechi

Rotimi Amaechi

$3,029 Vol.

5%

icon for Rabiu Kwankwaso

Rabiu Kwankwaso

$2,420 Vol.

2%

icon for Omoyele Sowore

Omoyele Sowore

$3,992 Vol.

1%

Presidential elections are scheduled to be held in Nigeria on January 16, 2027. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Nigerian presidential election. This market includes any potential second round. If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by Nigerian government sources, including the Independent National Electoral Commission (https://www.inecnigeria.org/).Bola Tinubu holds a dominant position in the 2027 Nigerian presidential election market due to his status as incumbent under the All Progressives Congress, where he secured the party nomination through a nationwide primary. This advantage stems from APC control of federal institutions and ongoing efforts to consolidate support ahead of the January 16, 2027, vote. Opposition fragmentation has further bolstered trader consensus around Tinubu, as Peter Obi’s ratification as the Nigeria Democratic Congress flagbearer—following his exit from the African Democratic Congress—has split potential anti-incumbent votes previously aligned in 2023 coalitions. Recent developments, including the June 2026 Democracy Day address highlighting economic reforms and security measures, alongside state-level elections in Ekiti and Osun, underscore the timeline pressures on challengers like Rotimi Amaechi and Rabiu Kwankwaso. Low odds for most other listed candidates reflect limited organized backing or formal party endorsements at this stage.

Presidential elections are scheduled to be held in Nigeria on January 16, 2027.

This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Nigerian presidential election.

This market includes any potential second round.

If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by Nigerian government sources, including the Independent National Electoral Commission (https://www.inecnigeria.org/).
Volumen
$31,545
Enddatum
16. Jan. 2027
Markt eröffnet
Jun 2, 2026, 2:03 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
Presidential elections are scheduled to be held in Nigeria on January 16, 2027. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Nigerian presidential election. This market includes any potential second round. If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by Nigerian government sources, including the Independent National Electoral Commission (https://www.inecnigeria.org/).
Presidential elections are scheduled to be held in Nigeria on January 16, 2027. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Nigerian presidential election. This market includes any potential second round. If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by Nigerian government sources, including the Independent National Electoral Commission (https://www.inecnigeria.org/).Bola Tinubu holds a dominant position in the 2027 Nigerian presidential election market due to his status as incumbent under the All Progressives Congress, where he secured the party nomination through a nationwide primary. This advantage stems from APC control of federal institutions and ongoing efforts to consolidate support ahead of the January 16, 2027, vote. Opposition fragmentation has further bolstered trader consensus around Tinubu, as Peter Obi’s ratification as the Nigeria Democratic Congress flagbearer—following his exit from the African Democratic Congress—has split potential anti-incumbent votes previously aligned in 2023 coalitions. Recent developments, including the June 2026 Democracy Day address highlighting economic reforms and security measures, alongside state-level elections in Ekiti and Osun, underscore the timeline pressures on challengers like Rotimi Amaechi and Rabiu Kwankwaso. Low odds for most other listed candidates reflect limited organized backing or formal party endorsements at this stage.

Presidential elections are scheduled to be held in Nigeria on January 16, 2027.

This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Nigerian presidential election.

This market includes any potential second round.

If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by Nigerian government sources, including the Independent National Electoral Commission (https://www.inecnigeria.org/).
Volumen
$31,545
Enddatum
16. Jan. 2027
Markt eröffnet
Jun 2, 2026, 2:03 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
Presidential elections are scheduled to be held in Nigeria on January 16, 2027. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Nigerian presidential election. This market includes any potential second round. If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by Nigerian government sources, including the Independent National Electoral Commission (https://www.inecnigeria.org/).

Vorsicht bei externen Links.

Häufig gestellte Fragen

„Gewinner der nigerianischen Präsidentschaftswahl" ist ein Prognosemarkt auf Polymarket mit 5 möglichen Ergebnissen, bei dem Händler Anteile auf Basis ihrer Einschätzung kaufen und verkaufen. Das aktuell führende Ergebnis ist „Bola Tinubu" mit 71%, gefolgt von „Peter Obi" mit 24%. Die Preise spiegeln Echtzeit-Wahrscheinlichkeiten der Community wider. Ein Anteilspreis von 71¢ bedeutet, dass der Markt diesem Ergebnis eine Wahrscheinlichkeit von 71% zuweist. Diese Quoten ändern sich laufend, wenn Händler auf neue Entwicklungen reagieren. Anteile am richtigen Ergebnis können bei Marktauflösung für jeweils $1 eingelöst werden.

Stand heute hat „Gewinner der nigerianischen Präsidentschaftswahl" ein Gesamthandelsvolumen von $31.5K generiert, seit der Markt am Jan 16, 2027 gestartet wurde. Dieses Aktivitätsniveau spiegelt starkes Engagement der Polymarket-Community wider und stellt sicher, dass die aktuellen Quoten von einem breiten Pool an Marktteilnehmern geprägt werden. Sie können Live-Preisbewegungen verfolgen und direkt auf dieser Seite auf jedes Ergebnis handeln.

Um auf „Gewinner der nigerianischen Präsidentschaftswahl" zu handeln, durchsuchen Sie die 5 verfügbaren Ergebnisse auf dieser Seite. Jedes Ergebnis zeigt einen aktuellen Preis, der die implizierte Wahrscheinlichkeit des Marktes darstellt. Um eine Position einzunehmen, wählen Sie das Ergebnis, das Sie für am wahrscheinlichsten halten, wählen Sie „Ja" um dafür oder „Nein" um dagegen zu handeln, geben Sie Ihren Betrag ein und klicken Sie auf „Handeln". Liegt Ihr gewähltes Ergebnis bei Marktauflösung richtig, zahlen Ihre „Ja"-Anteile jeweils $1 aus. Liegt es falsch, zahlen sie $0. Sie können Ihre Anteile auch jederzeit vor der Auflösung verkaufen.

Der aktuelle Favorit für „Gewinner der nigerianischen Präsidentschaftswahl" ist „Bola Tinubu" mit 71%, was bedeutet, dass der Markt diesem Ergebnis eine Wahrscheinlichkeit von 71% zuweist. Das nächstliegende Ergebnis ist „Peter Obi" mit 24%. Diese Quoten werden in Echtzeit aktualisiert, wenn Händler Anteile kaufen und verkaufen. Schauen Sie regelmäßig vorbei oder speichern Sie diese Seite als Lesezeichen.

Die Auflösungsregeln für „Gewinner der nigerianischen Präsidentschaftswahl" definieren genau, was passieren muss, damit jedes Ergebnis als Gewinner erklärt wird – einschließlich der offiziellen Datenquellen zur Bestimmung des Ergebnisses. Sie können die vollständigen Auflösungskriterien im Abschnitt „Regeln" auf dieser Seite über den Kommentaren einsehen. Wir empfehlen, die Regeln vor dem Handeln sorgfältig zu lesen, da sie die genauen Bedingungen, Sonderfälle und Quellen festlegen.