Javier Milei, the incumbent running for re-election under La Libertad Avanza, leads trader consensus at 51.5% due to his party's congressional gains in the 2025 midterms and continued pursuit of austerity and deregulation measures. Recent polls show his approval in the mid-30s to low-40s range, pressured by persistent inflation, eroded purchasing power, and corruption allegations that have widened the gap with undecided or dissatisfied voters. Axel Kicillof trails at 40% as the leading Peronist contender, supported by coalition-building efforts among opposition factions and stronger head-to-head polling in some surveys. Lower-probability outcomes such as Sergio Massa reflect limited independent momentum, while the overall positioning underscores a contest shaped by economic performance and opposition fragmentation heading into the October 2027 vote.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertGewinner der argentinischen Präsidentschaftswahl
Javier Milei 52%
Axel Kicillof 40%
Sergio Massa 5.4%
Myriam Bregman 1.5%
$524,776 Vol.
$524,776 Vol.

Javier Milei
52%

Axel Kicillof
40%

Sergio Massa
5%

Myriam Bregman
1%

Dante Gebel
1%

Juan Grabois
1%

Victoria Villarruel
1%

Mauricio Macri
<1%

Esteban Bullrich
<1%

Facundo Manes
<1%

Juan Schiaretti
<1%
Javier Milei 52%
Axel Kicillof 40%
Sergio Massa 5.4%
Myriam Bregman 1.5%
$524,776 Vol.
$524,776 Vol.

Javier Milei
52%

Axel Kicillof
40%

Sergio Massa
5%

Myriam Bregman
1%

Dante Gebel
1%

Juan Grabois
1%

Victoria Villarruel
1%

Mauricio Macri
<1%

Esteban Bullrich
<1%

Facundo Manes
<1%

Juan Schiaretti
<1%
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the next Argentinian Presidential election.
This market includes any potential second round.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by Argentina government sources, including the Cámara Nacional Electoral (https://www.electoral.gob.ar/nuevo/index.php) and the Dirección Nacional Electoral (https://www.argentina.gob.ar/dine).
Markt eröffnet: May 1, 2026, 5:56 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the next Argentinian Presidential election.
This market includes any potential second round.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by Argentina government sources, including the Cámara Nacional Electoral (https://www.electoral.gob.ar/nuevo/index.php) and the Dirección Nacional Electoral (https://www.argentina.gob.ar/dine).
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Javier Milei, the incumbent running for re-election under La Libertad Avanza, leads trader consensus at 51.5% due to his party's congressional gains in the 2025 midterms and continued pursuit of austerity and deregulation measures. Recent polls show his approval in the mid-30s to low-40s range, pressured by persistent inflation, eroded purchasing power, and corruption allegations that have widened the gap with undecided or dissatisfied voters. Axel Kicillof trails at 40% as the leading Peronist contender, supported by coalition-building efforts among opposition factions and stronger head-to-head polling in some surveys. Lower-probability outcomes such as Sergio Massa reflect limited independent momentum, while the overall positioning underscores a contest shaped by economic performance and opposition fragmentation heading into the October 2027 vote.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert



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