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Politik·Argentinien

Argentina Presidential Election Winner

icon for Argentina Presidential Election Winner
Politik·Argentinien

Argentina Presidential Election Winner

Javier Milei 49%

Axel Kicillof 33%

Dante Gebel 5.1%

Sergio Massa 3.3%

Polymarket

$67,666 Vol.

Javier Milei 49%

Axel Kicillof 33%

Dante Gebel 5.1%

Sergio Massa 3.3%

Polymarket

$67,666 Vol.

icon for Javier Milei

Javier Milei

$27,654 Vol.

49%

icon for Axel Kicillof

Axel Kicillof

$4,486 Vol.

33%

icon for Dante Gebel

Dante Gebel

$5,026 Vol.

5%

icon for Sergio Massa

Sergio Massa

$3,470 Vol.

3%

icon for Myriam Bregman

Myriam Bregman

$4,964 Vol.

3%

icon for Juan Grabois

Juan Grabois

$3,929 Vol.

3%

icon for Mauricio Macri

Mauricio Macri

$5,198 Vol.

2%

icon for Victoria Villarruel

Victoria Villarruel

$3,305 Vol.

1%

icon for Juan Schiaretti

Juan Schiaretti

$3,813 Vol.

1%

icon for Facundo Manes

Facundo Manes

$3,178 Vol.

<1%

icon for Esteban Bullrich

Esteban Bullrich

$2,643 Vol.

<1%

A presidential election scheduled to be held in Argentina on October 24, 2027. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the next Argentinian Presidential election. This market includes any potential second round. If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by Argentina government sources, including the Cámara Nacional Electoral (https://www.electoral.gob.ar/nuevo/index.php) and the Dirección Nacional Electoral (https://www.argentina.gob.ar/dine).Recent economic pressures, including rising unemployment and uneven recovery following austerity measures, have weighed on President Javier Milei's approval ratings ahead of the October 2027 contest. Traders assign him the highest probability due to his incumbency, 2025 midterm gains that expanded congressional support for reforms, and success in reducing inflation from over 200 percent. Buenos Aires Governor Axel Kicillof ranks second as Peronism reorganizes around him amid internal talks, capitalizing on public frustration with short-term hardships and recent corruption allegations tied to cryptocurrency promotions. Other candidates trail because fragmented opposition and limited national name recognition limit their immediate viability in current polling trends.

A presidential election scheduled to be held in Argentina on October 24, 2027.

This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the next Argentinian Presidential election.

This market includes any potential second round.

If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by Argentina government sources, including the Cámara Nacional Electoral (https://www.electoral.gob.ar/nuevo/index.php) and the Dirección Nacional Electoral (https://www.argentina.gob.ar/dine).
Volumen
$67,666
Enddatum
24. Okt. 2027
Markt eröffnet
May 1, 2026, 5:56 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
A presidential election scheduled to be held in Argentina on October 24, 2027. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the next Argentinian Presidential election. This market includes any potential second round. If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by Argentina government sources, including the Cámara Nacional Electoral (https://www.electoral.gob.ar/nuevo/index.php) and the Dirección Nacional Electoral (https://www.argentina.gob.ar/dine).
A presidential election scheduled to be held in Argentina on October 24, 2027. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the next Argentinian Presidential election. This market includes any potential second round. If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by Argentina government sources, including the Cámara Nacional Electoral (https://www.electoral.gob.ar/nuevo/index.php) and the Dirección Nacional Electoral (https://www.argentina.gob.ar/dine).Recent economic pressures, including rising unemployment and uneven recovery following austerity measures, have weighed on President Javier Milei's approval ratings ahead of the October 2027 contest. Traders assign him the highest probability due to his incumbency, 2025 midterm gains that expanded congressional support for reforms, and success in reducing inflation from over 200 percent. Buenos Aires Governor Axel Kicillof ranks second as Peronism reorganizes around him amid internal talks, capitalizing on public frustration with short-term hardships and recent corruption allegations tied to cryptocurrency promotions. Other candidates trail because fragmented opposition and limited national name recognition limit their immediate viability in current polling trends.

A presidential election scheduled to be held in Argentina on October 24, 2027.

This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the next Argentinian Presidential election.

This market includes any potential second round.

If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by Argentina government sources, including the Cámara Nacional Electoral (https://www.electoral.gob.ar/nuevo/index.php) and the Dirección Nacional Electoral (https://www.argentina.gob.ar/dine).
Volumen
$67,666
Enddatum
24. Okt. 2027
Markt eröffnet
May 1, 2026, 5:56 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
A presidential election scheduled to be held in Argentina on October 24, 2027. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the next Argentinian Presidential election. This market includes any potential second round. If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by Argentina government sources, including the Cámara Nacional Electoral (https://www.electoral.gob.ar/nuevo/index.php) and the Dirección Nacional Electoral (https://www.argentina.gob.ar/dine).

Vorsicht bei externen Links.

Häufig gestellte Fragen

„Argentina Presidential Election Winner" ist ein Prognosemarkt auf Polymarket mit 11 möglichen Ergebnissen, bei dem Händler Anteile auf Basis ihrer Einschätzung kaufen und verkaufen. Das aktuell führende Ergebnis ist „Javier Milei" mit 49%, gefolgt von „Axel Kicillof" mit 33%. Die Preise spiegeln Echtzeit-Wahrscheinlichkeiten der Community wider. Ein Anteilspreis von 49¢ bedeutet, dass der Markt diesem Ergebnis eine Wahrscheinlichkeit von 49% zuweist. Diese Quoten ändern sich laufend, wenn Händler auf neue Entwicklungen reagieren. Anteile am richtigen Ergebnis können bei Marktauflösung für jeweils $1 eingelöst werden.

Stand heute hat „Argentina Presidential Election Winner" ein Gesamthandelsvolumen von $67.7K generiert, seit der Markt am May 1, 2026 gestartet wurde. Dieses Aktivitätsniveau spiegelt starkes Engagement der Polymarket-Community wider und stellt sicher, dass die aktuellen Quoten von einem breiten Pool an Marktteilnehmern geprägt werden. Sie können Live-Preisbewegungen verfolgen und direkt auf dieser Seite auf jedes Ergebnis handeln.

Um auf „Argentina Presidential Election Winner" zu handeln, durchsuchen Sie die 11 verfügbaren Ergebnisse auf dieser Seite. Jedes Ergebnis zeigt einen aktuellen Preis, der die implizierte Wahrscheinlichkeit des Marktes darstellt. Um eine Position einzunehmen, wählen Sie das Ergebnis, das Sie für am wahrscheinlichsten halten, wählen Sie „Ja" um dafür oder „Nein" um dagegen zu handeln, geben Sie Ihren Betrag ein und klicken Sie auf „Handeln". Liegt Ihr gewähltes Ergebnis bei Marktauflösung richtig, zahlen Ihre „Ja"-Anteile jeweils $1 aus. Liegt es falsch, zahlen sie $0. Sie können Ihre Anteile auch jederzeit vor der Auflösung verkaufen.

Der aktuelle Favorit für „Argentina Presidential Election Winner" ist „Javier Milei" mit 49%, was bedeutet, dass der Markt diesem Ergebnis eine Wahrscheinlichkeit von 49% zuweist. Das nächstliegende Ergebnis ist „Axel Kicillof" mit 33%. Diese Quoten werden in Echtzeit aktualisiert, wenn Händler Anteile kaufen und verkaufen. Schauen Sie regelmäßig vorbei oder speichern Sie diese Seite als Lesezeichen.

Die Auflösungsregeln für „Argentina Presidential Election Winner" definieren genau, was passieren muss, damit jedes Ergebnis als Gewinner erklärt wird – einschließlich der offiziellen Datenquellen zur Bestimmung des Ergebnisses. Sie können die vollständigen Auflösungskriterien im Abschnitt „Regeln" auf dieser Seite über den Kommentaren einsehen. Wir empfehlen, die Regeln vor dem Handeln sorgfältig zu lesen, da sie die genauen Bedingungen, Sonderfälle und Quellen festlegen.