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icon for Wahlsieger bei den Bürgermeisterwahlen in Taipeh
Wahlen·Globale Wahlen

Wahlsieger bei den Bürgermeisterwahlen in Taipeh

icon for Wahlsieger bei den Bürgermeisterwahlen in Taipeh
Wahlen·Globale Wahlen

Wahlsieger bei den Bürgermeisterwahlen in Taipeh

Lee Shu-chuan 78%

Su Chiao-hui 18%

Huang Kuo-chang <1%

Polymarket
NEU

Lee Shu-chuan 78%

Su Chiao-hui 18%

Huang Kuo-chang <1%

Polymarket
NEU
icon for Lee Shu-chuan

Lee Shu-chuan

$1,266 Vol.

78%

icon for Su Chiao-hui

Su Chiao-hui

$866 Vol.

18%

icon for Huang Kuo-chang

Huang Kuo-chang

$615 Vol.

<1%

Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of New Taipei as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder Mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).Lee Shu-chuan holds a commanding lead in trader consensus for the New Taipei mayoral race due to his selection as the joint KMT-TPP nominee following an April 2026 coordination poll victory over TPP Chairman Huang Kuo-chang, who subsequently suspended his independent bid. This opposition alliance, combined with Lee's prior service as Taipei deputy mayor and consistent polling margins of roughly 10 points or more over DPP nominee Su Chiao-hui, has consolidated support ahead of the November 28, 2026 election. Recent KMT rallies in July have reinforced party momentum without introducing new challengers, while structural factors such as voter turnout patterns in special municipalities and the absence of major late-breaking scandals continue to favor the frontrunner. Huang's near-zero odds reflect his campaign withdrawal, and elevated "Other" pricing signals limited but unresolved fragmentation risks.

Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of New Taipei as a result of this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder Mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).
Volumen
$2,748
Enddatum
28. Nov. 2026
Markt eröffnet
Aug 14, 2026, 8:27 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of New Taipei as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder Mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).
Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of New Taipei as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder Mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).Lee Shu-chuan holds a commanding lead in trader consensus for the New Taipei mayoral race due to his selection as the joint KMT-TPP nominee following an April 2026 coordination poll victory over TPP Chairman Huang Kuo-chang, who subsequently suspended his independent bid. This opposition alliance, combined with Lee's prior service as Taipei deputy mayor and consistent polling margins of roughly 10 points or more over DPP nominee Su Chiao-hui, has consolidated support ahead of the November 28, 2026 election. Recent KMT rallies in July have reinforced party momentum without introducing new challengers, while structural factors such as voter turnout patterns in special municipalities and the absence of major late-breaking scandals continue to favor the frontrunner. Huang's near-zero odds reflect his campaign withdrawal, and elevated "Other" pricing signals limited but unresolved fragmentation risks.

Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of New Taipei as a result of this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder Mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).
Volumen
$2,748
Enddatum
28. Nov. 2026
Markt eröffnet
Aug 14, 2026, 8:27 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of New Taipei as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder Mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).

Verwandte

icon for Wird Chiang Wan-an die nächste Bürgermeisterwahl in Taipeh gewinnen?

Wird Chiang Wan-an die nächste Bürgermeisterwahl in Taipeh gewinnen?

91%
Ja
icon for Wird Chang San-cheng die nächste Bürgermeisterwahl in Taoyuan gewinnen?

Wird Chang San-cheng die nächste Bürgermeisterwahl in Taoyuan gewinnen?

89%
Ja
icon for Wird Johnny Chiang die nächste Bürgermeisterwahl in Taichung gewinnen?

Wird Johnny Chiang die nächste Bürgermeisterwahl in Taichung gewinnen?

89%
Ja

Vorsicht bei externen Links.

Häufig gestellte Fragen

„Wahlsieger bei den Bürgermeisterwahlen in Taipeh" ist ein Prognosemarkt auf Polymarket mit 3 möglichen Ergebnissen, bei dem Händler Anteile auf Basis ihrer Einschätzung kaufen und verkaufen. Das aktuell führende Ergebnis ist „Lee Shu-chuan" mit 78%, gefolgt von „Su Chiao-hui" mit 18%. Die Preise spiegeln Echtzeit-Wahrscheinlichkeiten der Community wider. Ein Anteilspreis von 78¢ bedeutet, dass der Markt diesem Ergebnis eine Wahrscheinlichkeit von 78% zuweist. Diese Quoten ändern sich laufend, wenn Händler auf neue Entwicklungen reagieren. Anteile am richtigen Ergebnis können bei Marktauflösung für jeweils $1 eingelöst werden.

„Wahlsieger bei den Bürgermeisterwahlen in Taipeh" ist ein neu erstellter Markt auf Polymarket, gestartet am Aug 14, 2026. Als früher Markt haben Sie die Gelegenheit, zu den ersten Händlern zu gehören, die die Quoten setzen und die ersten Preissignale des Marktes etablieren. Sie können diese Seite auch als Lesezeichen speichern, um Volumen und Handelsaktivität zu verfolgen, während der Markt an Fahrt gewinnt.

Um auf „Wahlsieger bei den Bürgermeisterwahlen in Taipeh" zu handeln, durchsuchen Sie die 3 verfügbaren Ergebnisse auf dieser Seite. Jedes Ergebnis zeigt einen aktuellen Preis, der die implizierte Wahrscheinlichkeit des Marktes darstellt. Um eine Position einzunehmen, wählen Sie das Ergebnis, das Sie für am wahrscheinlichsten halten, wählen Sie „Ja" um dafür oder „Nein" um dagegen zu handeln, geben Sie Ihren Betrag ein und klicken Sie auf „Handeln". Liegt Ihr gewähltes Ergebnis bei Marktauflösung richtig, zahlen Ihre „Ja"-Anteile jeweils $1 aus. Liegt es falsch, zahlen sie $0. Sie können Ihre Anteile auch jederzeit vor der Auflösung verkaufen.

Der aktuelle Favorit für „Wahlsieger bei den Bürgermeisterwahlen in Taipeh" ist „Lee Shu-chuan" mit 78%, was bedeutet, dass der Markt diesem Ergebnis eine Wahrscheinlichkeit von 78% zuweist. Das nächstliegende Ergebnis ist „Su Chiao-hui" mit 18%. Diese Quoten werden in Echtzeit aktualisiert, wenn Händler Anteile kaufen und verkaufen. Schauen Sie regelmäßig vorbei oder speichern Sie diese Seite als Lesezeichen.

Die Auflösungsregeln für „Wahlsieger bei den Bürgermeisterwahlen in Taipeh" definieren genau, was passieren muss, damit jedes Ergebnis als Gewinner erklärt wird – einschließlich der offiziellen Datenquellen zur Bestimmung des Ergebnisses. Sie können die vollständigen Auflösungskriterien im Abschnitt „Regeln" auf dieser Seite über den Kommentaren einsehen. Wir empfehlen, die Regeln vor dem Handeln sorgfältig zu lesen, da sie die genauen Bedingungen, Sonderfälle und Quellen festlegen.