Trader consensus at 96.3% against early departure reflects the high institutional barriers to removing a sitting president, including the two-thirds Senate vote required for conviction after impeachment and the procedural thresholds under the 25th Amendment. No major health disclosures, resignation signals, or successful congressional actions have emerged in recent months to shift probabilities. Historical patterns show most presidents complete their terms absent extraordinary events, and current polling trends plus legislative dynamics provide no immediate catalysts. Realistic scenarios that could still alter outcomes include sudden medical emergencies, unforeseen scandals prompting resignation, or rapid shifts in congressional majorities enabling removal proceedings within the 2026–2027 window.