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icon for Welche Partei wird die meisten Sitze bei den russischen Parlamentswahlen gewinnen?
Wahlen·Weltwahlen

Welche Partei wird die meisten Sitze bei den russischen Parlamentswahlen gewinnen?

icon for Welche Partei wird die meisten Sitze bei den russischen Parlamentswahlen gewinnen?
Wahlen·Weltwahlen

Welche Partei wird die meisten Sitze bei den russischen Parlamentswahlen gewinnen?

Einiges Russland (ER) 62%

Neue Leute (NL) 29.1%

Liberaldemokratische Partei Russlands (LDPR) 5.4%

Kommunistische Partei der Russischen Föderation (KPRF) 3.9%

Polymarket

$8,168,886 Vol.

Einiges Russland (ER) 62%

Neue Leute (NL) 29.1%

Liberaldemokratische Partei Russlands (LDPR) 5.4%

Kommunistische Partei der Russischen Föderation (KPRF) 3.9%

Polymarket

$8,168,886 Vol.

icon for Einiges Russland (ER)

Einiges Russland (ER)

$2,128,459 Vol.

62%

icon for Neue Leute (NL)

Neue Leute (NL)

$1,037,819 Vol.

29%

icon for Liberaldemokratische Partei Russlands (LDPR)

Liberaldemokratische Partei Russlands (LDPR)

$2,272,834 Vol.

5%

icon for Kommunistische Partei der Russischen Föderation (KPRF)

Kommunistische Partei der Russischen Föderation (KPRF)

$654,476 Vol.

4%

icon for Gerechtes Russland – Für die Wahrheit (SRZP)

Gerechtes Russland – Für die Wahrheit (SRZP)

$571,026 Vol.

1%

icon for Rodina

Rodina

$926,032 Vol.

<1%

icon for Bürgerplattform (GP)

Bürgerplattform (GP)

$579,580 Vol.

<1%

Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026. This market will resolve according to the political party that gains the greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election, compared to before the election. If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats gained, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats gained by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation. This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.United Russia holds a commanding lead in trader consensus for securing the most seats in Russia's September 2026 State Duma election, reflecting its incumbency advantages, control of single-member districts, and consistent top position in polling averages around 35-50 percent. New People has captured the second-highest implied probability due to recent gains in VCIOM surveys, where it ranks second at roughly 13-16 percent by addressing voter concerns over internet restrictions and VPN access, positioning it as the primary vehicle for protest votes within the managed system. The Liberal Democratic Party, Communist Party, and smaller registered parties trail with limited momentum, as authorities focus on maintaining United Russia's constitutional majority while allowing limited competition among approved options. Recent regional election results and campaign preparations underscore these dynamics ahead of the three-day voting period.

Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.

This market will resolve according to the political party that gains the greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election, compared to before the election.

If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats gained, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.

This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats gained by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.

This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Volumen
$8,168,886
Enddatum
20. Sep. 2026
Markt eröffnet
Jan 7, 2026, 4:27 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026. This market will resolve according to the political party that gains the greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election, compared to before the election. If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats gained, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats gained by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation. This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026. This market will resolve according to the political party that gains the greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election, compared to before the election. If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats gained, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats gained by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation. This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.United Russia holds a commanding lead in trader consensus for securing the most seats in Russia's September 2026 State Duma election, reflecting its incumbency advantages, control of single-member districts, and consistent top position in polling averages around 35-50 percent. New People has captured the second-highest implied probability due to recent gains in VCIOM surveys, where it ranks second at roughly 13-16 percent by addressing voter concerns over internet restrictions and VPN access, positioning it as the primary vehicle for protest votes within the managed system. The Liberal Democratic Party, Communist Party, and smaller registered parties trail with limited momentum, as authorities focus on maintaining United Russia's constitutional majority while allowing limited competition among approved options. Recent regional election results and campaign preparations underscore these dynamics ahead of the three-day voting period.

Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.

This market will resolve according to the political party that gains the greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election, compared to before the election.

If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats gained, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.

This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats gained by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.

This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Volumen
$8,168,886
Enddatum
20. Sep. 2026
Markt eröffnet
Jan 7, 2026, 4:27 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026. This market will resolve according to the political party that gains the greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election, compared to before the election. If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats gained, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats gained by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation. This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.

Vorsicht bei externen Links.

Häufig gestellte Fragen

„Welche Partei wird die meisten Sitze bei den russischen Parlamentswahlen gewinnen?" ist ein Prognosemarkt auf Polymarket mit 7 möglichen Ergebnissen, bei dem Händler Anteile auf Basis ihrer Einschätzung kaufen und verkaufen. Das aktuell führende Ergebnis ist „Einiges Russland (ER)" mit 62%, gefolgt von „Neue Leute (NL)" mit 29%. Die Preise spiegeln Echtzeit-Wahrscheinlichkeiten der Community wider. Ein Anteilspreis von 62¢ bedeutet, dass der Markt diesem Ergebnis eine Wahrscheinlichkeit von 62% zuweist. Diese Quoten ändern sich laufend, wenn Händler auf neue Entwicklungen reagieren. Anteile am richtigen Ergebnis können bei Marktauflösung für jeweils $1 eingelöst werden.

Stand heute hat „Welche Partei wird die meisten Sitze bei den russischen Parlamentswahlen gewinnen?" ein Gesamthandelsvolumen von $8.2 million generiert, seit der Markt am Jan 7, 2026 gestartet wurde. Dieses Aktivitätsniveau spiegelt starkes Engagement der Polymarket-Community wider und stellt sicher, dass die aktuellen Quoten von einem breiten Pool an Marktteilnehmern geprägt werden. Sie können Live-Preisbewegungen verfolgen und direkt auf dieser Seite auf jedes Ergebnis handeln.

Um auf „Welche Partei wird die meisten Sitze bei den russischen Parlamentswahlen gewinnen?" zu handeln, durchsuchen Sie die 7 verfügbaren Ergebnisse auf dieser Seite. Jedes Ergebnis zeigt einen aktuellen Preis, der die implizierte Wahrscheinlichkeit des Marktes darstellt. Um eine Position einzunehmen, wählen Sie das Ergebnis, das Sie für am wahrscheinlichsten halten, wählen Sie „Ja" um dafür oder „Nein" um dagegen zu handeln, geben Sie Ihren Betrag ein und klicken Sie auf „Handeln". Liegt Ihr gewähltes Ergebnis bei Marktauflösung richtig, zahlen Ihre „Ja"-Anteile jeweils $1 aus. Liegt es falsch, zahlen sie $0. Sie können Ihre Anteile auch jederzeit vor der Auflösung verkaufen.

Der aktuelle Favorit für „Welche Partei wird die meisten Sitze bei den russischen Parlamentswahlen gewinnen?" ist „Einiges Russland (ER)" mit 62%, was bedeutet, dass der Markt diesem Ergebnis eine Wahrscheinlichkeit von 62% zuweist. Das nächstliegende Ergebnis ist „Neue Leute (NL)" mit 29%. Diese Quoten werden in Echtzeit aktualisiert, wenn Händler Anteile kaufen und verkaufen. Schauen Sie regelmäßig vorbei oder speichern Sie diese Seite als Lesezeichen.

Die Auflösungsregeln für „Welche Partei wird die meisten Sitze bei den russischen Parlamentswahlen gewinnen?" definieren genau, was passieren muss, damit jedes Ergebnis als Gewinner erklärt wird – einschließlich der offiziellen Datenquellen zur Bestimmung des Ergebnisses. Sie können die vollständigen Auflösungskriterien im Abschnitt „Regeln" auf dieser Seite über den Kommentaren einsehen. Wir empfehlen, die Regeln vor dem Handeln sorgfältig zu lesen, da sie die genauen Bedingungen, Sonderfälle und Quellen festlegen.