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icon for Welche Partei wird die meisten Sitze bei den russischen Parlamentswahlen gewinnen?
Politik·Internationale Wahlrequisiten

Welche Partei wird die meisten Sitze bei den russischen Parlamentswahlen gewinnen?

icon for Welche Partei wird die meisten Sitze bei den russischen Parlamentswahlen gewinnen?
Politik·Internationale Wahlrequisiten

Welche Partei wird die meisten Sitze bei den russischen Parlamentswahlen gewinnen?

Einiges Russland (ER) 99.6%

Neue Leute (NL) <1%

Kommunistische Partei der Russischen Föderation (KPRF) <1%

Gerechtes Russland – Für die Wahrheit (SRZP) <1%

Polymarket

$50,623,367 Vol.

Einiges Russland (ER) 99.6%

Neue Leute (NL) <1%

Kommunistische Partei der Russischen Föderation (KPRF) <1%

Gerechtes Russland – Für die Wahrheit (SRZP) <1%

Polymarket

$50,623,367 Vol.

icon for Einiges Russland (ER)

Einiges Russland (ER)

$23,403,150 Vol.

100%

icon for Neue Leute (NL)

Neue Leute (NL)

$5,703,762 Vol.

1%

icon for Kommunistische Partei der Russischen Föderation (KPRF)

Kommunistische Partei der Russischen Föderation (KPRF)

$3,859,422 Vol.

<1%

icon for Gerechtes Russland – Für die Wahrheit (SRZP)

Gerechtes Russland – Für die Wahrheit (SRZP)

$4,025,532 Vol.

<1%

icon for Liberaldemokratische Partei Russlands (LDPR)

Liberaldemokratische Partei Russlands (LDPR)

$5,577,403 Vol.

<1%

icon for Rodina

Rodina

$3,204,302 Vol.

<1%

icon for Bürgerplattform (GP)

Bürgerplattform (GP)

$1,410,336 Vol.

<1%

icon for Jabloko

Jabloko

$3,439,460 Vol.

<1%

Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026. This market will resolve according to the political party that gains the greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election, compared to before the election. If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats gained, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats gained by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation. This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026. This market will resolve according to the political party that gains the greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election, compared to before the election. If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats gained, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats gained by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation. This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation. Note: Per market rules, the market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the listed party “compared to [the number of seats they held] before the election,” specifically meaning the party’s seat count in the outgoing State Duma as of 12:00 PM Moscow time on the calendar day immediately preceding the official scheduled date of the 2026 Russian parliamentary election, as determined by a consensus of credible reporting; if there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on Russian government sources such as the State Duma or its official media outlets (e.g., https://dumatv.ru/fractions).United Russia maintains a commanding lead in Russia's ongoing State Duma election, with preliminary Central Election Commission results showing roughly 57% of the party-list vote and victories projected in the large majority of single-mandate districts, positioning it for another constitutional majority. This reflects the party's entrenched organizational advantages, Kremlin alignment, and the exclusion of non-systemic opposition groups such as Yabloko from the ballot. The three-day voting period, held amid the ongoing conflict in Ukraine and viewed by authorities as a loyalty test, has produced turnout near 57%, with other registered parties trailing far behind. Scenarios that could still alter seat outcomes include major discrepancies in final protocol counts, successful court interventions, or unforeseen administrative reversals, though the current institutional framework makes such shifts improbable.

Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.

This market will resolve according to the political party that gains the greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election, compared to before the election.

If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats gained, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.

This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats gained by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.

This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026. This market will resolve according to the political party that gains the greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election, compared to before the election. If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats gained, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats gained by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation. This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Volumen
$50,623,367
Enddatum
20. Sep. 2026
Markt eröffnet
Jan 7, 2026, 4:27 PM ET

Abwickler

0x2F5e3684c...
Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026. This market will resolve according to the political party that gains the greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election, compared to before the election. If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats gained, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats gained by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation. This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026. This market will resolve according to the political party that gains the greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election, compared to before the election. If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats gained, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats gained by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation. This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation. Note: Per market rules, the market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the listed party “compared to [the number of seats they held] before the election,” specifically meaning the party’s seat count in the outgoing State Duma as of 12:00 PM Moscow time on the calendar day immediately preceding the official scheduled date of the 2026 Russian parliamentary election, as determined by a consensus of credible reporting; if there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on Russian government sources such as the State Duma or its official media outlets (e.g., https://dumatv.ru/fractions).United Russia maintains a commanding lead in Russia's ongoing State Duma election, with preliminary Central Election Commission results showing roughly 57% of the party-list vote and victories projected in the large majority of single-mandate districts, positioning it for another constitutional majority. This reflects the party's entrenched organizational advantages, Kremlin alignment, and the exclusion of non-systemic opposition groups such as Yabloko from the ballot. The three-day voting period, held amid the ongoing conflict in Ukraine and viewed by authorities as a loyalty test, has produced turnout near 57%, with other registered parties trailing far behind. Scenarios that could still alter seat outcomes include major discrepancies in final protocol counts, successful court interventions, or unforeseen administrative reversals, though the current institutional framework makes such shifts improbable.

Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.

This market will resolve according to the political party that gains the greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election, compared to before the election.

If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats gained, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.

This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats gained by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.

This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026. This market will resolve according to the political party that gains the greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election, compared to before the election. If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats gained, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats gained by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation. This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Volumen
$50,623,367
Enddatum
20. Sep. 2026
Markt eröffnet
Jan 7, 2026, 4:27 PM ET

Abwickler

0x2F5e3684c...

Verwandte

icon for Wird Gerechtes Russland – Für die Wahrheit (SRZP) bei der nächsten Wahl zur russischen Staatsduma mindestens einen Sitz gewinnen?

Wird Gerechtes Russland – Für die Wahrheit (SRZP) bei der nächsten Wahl zur russischen Staatsduma mindestens einen Sitz gewinnen?

99%
Ja
icon for Wird Einiges Russland (ER) die meisten Sitze bei der nächsten russischen Parlamentswahl gewinnen?

Wird Einiges Russland (ER) die meisten Sitze bei der nächsten russischen Parlamentswahl gewinnen?

100%
Ja
icon for Wird Neue Leute (NL) die vierthöchste Anzahl an Sitzen bei der nächsten russischen Parlamentswahl gewinnen?

Wird Neue Leute (NL) die vierthöchste Anzahl an Sitzen bei der nächsten russischen Parlamentswahl gewinnen?

93%
Ja

Vorsicht bei externen Links.

Häufig gestellte Fragen

„Welche Partei wird die meisten Sitze bei den russischen Parlamentswahlen gewinnen?" ist ein Prognosemarkt auf Polymarket mit 8 möglichen Ergebnissen, bei dem Händler Anteile auf Basis ihrer Einschätzung kaufen und verkaufen. Das aktuell führende Ergebnis ist „Einiges Russland (ER)" mit 100%, gefolgt von „Neue Leute (NL)" mit 1%. Die Preise spiegeln Echtzeit-Wahrscheinlichkeiten der Community wider. Ein Anteilspreis von 100¢ bedeutet, dass der Markt diesem Ergebnis eine Wahrscheinlichkeit von 100% zuweist. Diese Quoten ändern sich laufend, wenn Händler auf neue Entwicklungen reagieren. Anteile am richtigen Ergebnis können bei Marktauflösung für jeweils $1 eingelöst werden.

Stand heute hat „Welche Partei wird die meisten Sitze bei den russischen Parlamentswahlen gewinnen?" ein Gesamthandelsvolumen von $50.6 million generiert, seit der Markt am Jan 7, 2026 gestartet wurde. Dieses Aktivitätsniveau spiegelt starkes Engagement der Polymarket-Community wider und stellt sicher, dass die aktuellen Quoten von einem breiten Pool an Marktteilnehmern geprägt werden. Sie können Live-Preisbewegungen verfolgen und direkt auf dieser Seite auf jedes Ergebnis handeln.

Um auf „Welche Partei wird die meisten Sitze bei den russischen Parlamentswahlen gewinnen?" zu handeln, durchsuchen Sie die 8 verfügbaren Ergebnisse auf dieser Seite. Jedes Ergebnis zeigt einen aktuellen Preis, der die implizierte Wahrscheinlichkeit des Marktes darstellt. Um eine Position einzunehmen, wählen Sie das Ergebnis, das Sie für am wahrscheinlichsten halten, wählen Sie „Ja" um dafür oder „Nein" um dagegen zu handeln, geben Sie Ihren Betrag ein und klicken Sie auf „Handeln". Liegt Ihr gewähltes Ergebnis bei Marktauflösung richtig, zahlen Ihre „Ja"-Anteile jeweils $1 aus. Liegt es falsch, zahlen sie $0. Sie können Ihre Anteile auch jederzeit vor der Auflösung verkaufen.

Der aktuelle Favorit für „Welche Partei wird die meisten Sitze bei den russischen Parlamentswahlen gewinnen?" ist „Einiges Russland (ER)" mit 100%, was bedeutet, dass der Markt diesem Ergebnis eine Wahrscheinlichkeit von 100% zuweist. Das nächstliegende Ergebnis ist „Neue Leute (NL)" mit 1%. Diese Quoten werden in Echtzeit aktualisiert, wenn Händler Anteile kaufen und verkaufen. Schauen Sie regelmäßig vorbei oder speichern Sie diese Seite als Lesezeichen.

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