United Russia maintains its commanding position in the September 18–20, 2026, State Duma election due to its status as the ruling party backed by the Kremlin, extensive control over the electoral process, and consistent polling leads of roughly 40–50 percent. Recent developments reinforcing this include President Putin’s June 2026 decree setting the vote dates, multi-day voting procedures, participation in occupied territories, and measures that have limited genuine opposition, such as the recent barring of Yabloko. Systemic parties including the CPRF, LDPR, New People, and A Just Russia–For Truth remain on the ballot but show limited prospects of surpassing the threshold or challenging the majority. Trader consensus at 98.2 percent reflects these structural barriers, though low-probability shifts could arise from major escalations in the Ukraine conflict, significant elite fractures, or unexpected turnout anomalies within the remaining campaign window.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertEiniges Russland (ER) 98.2%
Jabloko <1%
Liberaldemokratische Partei Russlands (LDPR) <1%
Kommunistische Partei der Russischen Föderation (KPRF) <1%
$3,185,265 Vol.
$3,185,265 Vol.
30. Sep. 2026
Einiges Russland (ER)
98%
Jabloko
1%
Liberaldemokratische Partei Russlands (LDPR)
1%
Kommunistische Partei der Russischen Föderation (KPRF)
1%
Neue Leute (NL)
<1%
Gerechtes Russland – Für die Wahrheit (SRZP)
<1%
Rodina
<1%
Bürgerplattform (GP)
<1%
Einiges Russland (ER) 98.2%
Jabloko <1%
Liberaldemokratische Partei Russlands (LDPR) <1%
Kommunistische Partei der Russischen Föderation (KPRF) <1%
$3,185,265 Vol.
$3,185,265 Vol.
30. Sep. 2026
Einiges Russland (ER)
$802,796 Vol.
98%
Jabloko
$32,428 Vol.
1%
Liberaldemokratische Partei Russlands (LDPR)
$205,961 Vol.
1%
Kommunistische Partei der Russischen Föderation (KPRF)
$163,356 Vol.
1%
Neue Leute (NL)
$138,483 Vol.
<1%
Gerechtes Russland – Für die Wahrheit (SRZP)
$736,126 Vol.
<1%
Rodina
$502,708 Vol.
<1%
Bürgerplattform (GP)
$603,407 Vol.
<1%
Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Note: If a listed party contests the election as part of a jointly listed coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.United Russia maintains its commanding position in the September 18–20, 2026, State Duma election due to its status as the ruling party backed by the Kremlin, extensive control over the electoral process, and consistent polling leads of roughly 40–50 percent. Recent developments reinforcing this include President Putin’s June 2026 decree setting the vote dates, multi-day voting procedures, participation in occupied territories, and measures that have limited genuine opposition, such as the recent barring of Yabloko. Systemic parties including the CPRF, LDPR, New People, and A Just Russia–For Truth remain on the ballot but show limited prospects of surpassing the threshold or challenging the majority. Trader consensus at 98.2 percent reflects these structural barriers, though low-probability shifts could arise from major escalations in the Ukraine conflict, significant elite fractures, or unexpected turnout anomalies within the remaining campaign window.
Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Note: If a listed party contests the election as part of a jointly listed coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Note: If a listed party contests the election as part of a jointly listed coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.
Markt eröffnet: Jan 7, 2026, 4:20 PM ET
Volumen
$3,185,265Enddatum
20. Sep. 2026Markt eröffnet
Jan 7, 2026, 4:20 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Note: If a listed party contests the election as part of a jointly listed coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.United Russia maintains its commanding position in the September 18–20, 2026, State Duma election due to its status as the ruling party backed by the Kremlin, extensive control over the electoral process, and consistent polling leads of roughly 40–50 percent. Recent developments reinforcing this include President Putin’s June 2026 decree setting the vote dates, multi-day voting procedures, participation in occupied territories, and measures that have limited genuine opposition, such as the recent barring of Yabloko. Systemic parties including the CPRF, LDPR, New People, and A Just Russia–For Truth remain on the ballot but show limited prospects of surpassing the threshold or challenging the majority. Trader consensus at 98.2 percent reflects these structural barriers, though low-probability shifts could arise from major escalations in the Ukraine conflict, significant elite fractures, or unexpected turnout anomalies within the remaining campaign window.
Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Note: If a listed party contests the election as part of a jointly listed coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Note: If a listed party contests the election as part of a jointly listed coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.
Volumen
$3,185,265Enddatum
20. Sep. 2026Markt eröffnet
Jan 7, 2026, 4:20 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...United Russia maintains its commanding position in the September 18–20, 2026, State Duma election due to its status as the ruling party backed by the Kremlin, extensive control over the electoral process, and consistent polling leads of roughly 40–50 percent. Recent developments reinforcing this include President Putin’s June 2026 decree setting the vote dates, multi-day voting procedures, participation in occupied territories, and measures that have limited genuine opposition, such as the recent barring of Yabloko. Systemic parties including the CPRF, LDPR, New People, and A Just Russia–For Truth remain on the ballot but show limited prospects of surpassing the threshold or challenging the majority. Trader consensus at 98.2 percent reflects these structural barriers, though low-probability shifts could arise from major escalations in the Ukraine conflict, significant elite fractures, or unexpected turnout anomalies within the remaining campaign window.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertVerwandte
Will New People (NL) win the third-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
43%
Will the Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) win the second-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
83%
Wird Einiges Russland (ER) bei der nächsten russischen Parlamentswahl die meisten Sitze gewinnen?
71%
Ja
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
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