Traders assign a 61.5% probability to no Trump-Putin meeting by year-end because no bilateral summit has been scheduled or announced in 2026, despite ongoing references to their 2025 Anchorage talks on Ukraine. Recent diplomatic activity, including Putin’s May visit to Beijing and speculation around a possible G20 invitation in Miami, supports China at 18.5% as a plausible neutral venue. Lower odds for Russia, the United States, Gulf states, and Turkey reflect the absence of confirmed plans or invitations, while historical patterns of U.S.-Russia summits occurring on short notice or at multilateral events continue to shape expectations for any late-year development.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertWo treffen sich Trump und Putin im Jahr 2026 als nächstes?
Kein Treffen bis zum 31. Dezember 62%
China 19%
Russia 5%
Gulf country 5%
$47,285 Vol.
$47,285 Vol.

Kein Treffen bis zum 31. Dezember
62%

China
19%

Russia
5%

Gulf country
5%

United States
5%

Turkey
3%

Switzerland
2%

Belarus
2%

Other
1%

Other EU country
1%

South Korea
1%

Ukraine
1%

Finland
1%

Japan
<1%

Australia
<1%
Kein Treffen bis zum 31. Dezember 62%
China 19%
Russia 5%
Gulf country 5%
$47,285 Vol.
$47,285 Vol.

Kein Treffen bis zum 31. Dezember
62%

China
19%

Russia
5%

Gulf country
5%

United States
5%

Turkey
3%

Switzerland
2%

Belarus
2%

Other
1%

Other EU country
1%

South Korea
1%

Ukraine
1%

Finland
1%

Japan
<1%

Australia
<1%
This market will resolve to "No meeting by December 31" if no qualifying meeting occurs during this market's timeframe.
A meeting is defined as any encounter where Putin and Trump are all present and interact with each other in person.
An exchange of words, handshake, direct conversation, or other clear personal interaction between the named individuals will qualify as a meeting. Merely standing in proximity, making eye contact, or being present in the same room or event without direct interaction will not qualify.
For this market, Gulf states are defined as the six members of the Gulf Cooperation Council (Bahrain, Kuwait, Oman, Qatar, Saudi Arabia, United Arab Emirates).
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Markt eröffnet: May 26, 2026, 6:45 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to "No meeting by December 31" if no qualifying meeting occurs during this market's timeframe.
A meeting is defined as any encounter where Putin and Trump are all present and interact with each other in person.
An exchange of words, handshake, direct conversation, or other clear personal interaction between the named individuals will qualify as a meeting. Merely standing in proximity, making eye contact, or being present in the same room or event without direct interaction will not qualify.
For this market, Gulf states are defined as the six members of the Gulf Cooperation Council (Bahrain, Kuwait, Oman, Qatar, Saudi Arabia, United Arab Emirates).
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Traders assign a 61.5% probability to no Trump-Putin meeting by year-end because no bilateral summit has been scheduled or announced in 2026, despite ongoing references to their 2025 Anchorage talks on Ukraine. Recent diplomatic activity, including Putin’s May visit to Beijing and speculation around a possible G20 invitation in Miami, supports China at 18.5% as a plausible neutral venue. Lower odds for Russia, the United States, Gulf states, and Turkey reflect the absence of confirmed plans or invitations, while historical patterns of U.S.-Russia summits occurring on short notice or at multilateral events continue to shape expectations for any late-year development.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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Vorsicht bei externen Links.
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