Ongoing US-Iran military exchanges in the Strait of Hormuz since February 2026 have included reported US projectile strikes on Hengam Island in July and attacks on nearby Larak Island launchers in late August, alongside environmental damage and a September 13 incident striking an Iranian commercial vessel near Hengam and Qeshm. Iran has reinforced positions across its Gulf islands with additional troops and naval assets while asserting administrative and military authority over Hengam, which forms part of its defensive line for monitoring shipping routes. No verified shifts in governmental or territorial control have occurred, and trader consensus reflects the significant barriers to any change in effective administration absent major amphibious operations or negotiated territorial concessions. Upcoming diplomatic or military developments in the Hormuz region could influence risk assessments.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertInsel Hengam nicht mehr unter iranischer Kontrolle von...?
Insel Hengam nicht mehr unter iranischer Kontrolle von...?
$208,473 Vol.
30. Sep. 2026
30. September
1%
$208,473 Vol.
30. September
$2,633 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Hengam Island is no longer under Iranian control by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
"No longer under the control of Iran" means that Iran no longer exercises primary governmental or military control over Hengam Island, and another state, occupying force, or internationally backed authority has established control over the island.
Temporary raids, isolated landings, special operations, bombardment, sabotage, naval presence offshore, or temporary disruption of Iranian activity will not qualify on their own.
An announcement, threat, or claim that Iran has lost control will not qualify without actual control being established.
If control changes pursuant to a negotiated settlement, ceasefire term, surrender, or transfer agreement, this will qualify only once actual control has been established on the island.
If control over Hengam Island is contested, unclear, disputed, or not sufficiently established by the resolution date, this will not qualify, and the market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source will be official statements from the relevant governments and militaries, along with a consensus of credible reporting.Ongoing US-Iran military exchanges in the Strait of Hormuz since February 2026 have included reported US projectile strikes on Hengam Island in July and attacks on nearby Larak Island launchers in late August, alongside environmental damage and a September 13 incident striking an Iranian commercial vessel near Hengam and Qeshm. Iran has reinforced positions across its Gulf islands with additional troops and naval assets while asserting administrative and military authority over Hengam, which forms part of its defensive line for monitoring shipping routes. No verified shifts in governmental or territorial control have occurred, and trader consensus reflects the significant barriers to any change in effective administration absent major amphibious operations or negotiated territorial concessions. Upcoming diplomatic or military developments in the Hormuz region could influence risk assessments.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Hengam Island is no longer under Iranian control by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
"No longer under the control of Iran" means that Iran no longer exercises primary governmental or military control over Hengam Island, and another state, occupying force, or internationally backed authority has established control over the island.
Temporary raids, isolated landings, special operations, bombardment, sabotage, naval presence offshore, or temporary disruption of Iranian activity will not qualify on their own.
An announcement, threat, or claim that Iran has lost control will not qualify without actual control being established.
If control changes pursuant to a negotiated settlement, ceasefire term, surrender, or transfer agreement, this will qualify only once actual control has been established on the island.
If control over Hengam Island is contested, unclear, disputed, or not sufficiently established by the resolution date, this will not qualify, and the market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source will be official statements from the relevant governments and militaries, along with a consensus of credible reporting.
"No longer under the control of Iran" means that Iran no longer exercises primary governmental or military control over Hengam Island, and another state, occupying force, or internationally backed authority has established control over the island.
Temporary raids, isolated landings, special operations, bombardment, sabotage, naval presence offshore, or temporary disruption of Iranian activity will not qualify on their own.
An announcement, threat, or claim that Iran has lost control will not qualify without actual control being established.
If control changes pursuant to a negotiated settlement, ceasefire term, surrender, or transfer agreement, this will qualify only once actual control has been established on the island.
If control over Hengam Island is contested, unclear, disputed, or not sufficiently established by the resolution date, this will not qualify, and the market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source will be official statements from the relevant governments and militaries, along with a consensus of credible reporting.
Markt eröffnet: Aug 26, 2026, 11:08 AM ET
Volumen
$208,473Enddatum
1. Okt. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 26, 2026, 11:08 AM ETAbwickler
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Hengam Island is no longer under Iranian control by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
"No longer under the control of Iran" means that Iran no longer exercises primary governmental or military control over Hengam Island, and another state, occupying force, or internationally backed authority has established control over the island.
Temporary raids, isolated landings, special operations, bombardment, sabotage, naval presence offshore, or temporary disruption of Iranian activity will not qualify on their own.
An announcement, threat, or claim that Iran has lost control will not qualify without actual control being established.
If control changes pursuant to a negotiated settlement, ceasefire term, surrender, or transfer agreement, this will qualify only once actual control has been established on the island.
If control over Hengam Island is contested, unclear, disputed, or not sufficiently established by the resolution date, this will not qualify, and the market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source will be official statements from the relevant governments and militaries, along with a consensus of credible reporting.Ongoing US-Iran military exchanges in the Strait of Hormuz since February 2026 have included reported US projectile strikes on Hengam Island in July and attacks on nearby Larak Island launchers in late August, alongside environmental damage and a September 13 incident striking an Iranian commercial vessel near Hengam and Qeshm. Iran has reinforced positions across its Gulf islands with additional troops and naval assets while asserting administrative and military authority over Hengam, which forms part of its defensive line for monitoring shipping routes. No verified shifts in governmental or territorial control have occurred, and trader consensus reflects the significant barriers to any change in effective administration absent major amphibious operations or negotiated territorial concessions. Upcoming diplomatic or military developments in the Hormuz region could influence risk assessments.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Hengam Island is no longer under Iranian control by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
"No longer under the control of Iran" means that Iran no longer exercises primary governmental or military control over Hengam Island, and another state, occupying force, or internationally backed authority has established control over the island.
Temporary raids, isolated landings, special operations, bombardment, sabotage, naval presence offshore, or temporary disruption of Iranian activity will not qualify on their own.
An announcement, threat, or claim that Iran has lost control will not qualify without actual control being established.
If control changes pursuant to a negotiated settlement, ceasefire term, surrender, or transfer agreement, this will qualify only once actual control has been established on the island.
If control over Hengam Island is contested, unclear, disputed, or not sufficiently established by the resolution date, this will not qualify, and the market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source will be official statements from the relevant governments and militaries, along with a consensus of credible reporting.
"No longer under the control of Iran" means that Iran no longer exercises primary governmental or military control over Hengam Island, and another state, occupying force, or internationally backed authority has established control over the island.
Temporary raids, isolated landings, special operations, bombardment, sabotage, naval presence offshore, or temporary disruption of Iranian activity will not qualify on their own.
An announcement, threat, or claim that Iran has lost control will not qualify without actual control being established.
If control changes pursuant to a negotiated settlement, ceasefire term, surrender, or transfer agreement, this will qualify only once actual control has been established on the island.
If control over Hengam Island is contested, unclear, disputed, or not sufficiently established by the resolution date, this will not qualify, and the market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source will be official statements from the relevant governments and militaries, along with a consensus of credible reporting.
Volumen
$208,473Enddatum
1. Okt. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 26, 2026, 11:08 AM ETAbwickler
0x65070BE91...Ongoing US-Iran military exchanges in the Strait of Hormuz since February 2026 have included reported US projectile strikes on Hengam Island in July and attacks on nearby Larak Island launchers in late August, alongside environmental damage and a September 13 incident striking an Iranian commercial vessel near Hengam and Qeshm. Iran has reinforced positions across its Gulf islands with additional troops and naval assets while asserting administrative and military authority over Hengam, which forms part of its defensive line for monitoring shipping routes. No verified shifts in governmental or territorial control have occurred, and trader consensus reflects the significant barriers to any change in effective administration absent major amphibious operations or negotiated territorial concessions. Upcoming diplomatic or military developments in the Hormuz region could influence risk assessments.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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