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icon for Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?

Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?

icon for Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?

Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?

24% Chance
Polymarket

$270,779 Vol.

24% Chance
Polymarket

$270,779 Vol.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Pete Hegseth ceases to be U.S. Secretary of Defense for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Pete Hegseth's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Pete Hegseth and the U.S. government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.**Pete Hegseth remains actively engaged as Secretary of Defense (now titled Secretary of War) into mid-2026, with no announced resignation or formal removal process underway.** He continues to testify on budget requests, conduct media appearances such as a June 10, 2026, briefing at MacDill Air Force Base, and participate in high-profile events including Face the Nation. President Trump’s consistent support has insulated the position despite internal Pentagon friction, including multiple senior officer firings and service secretary departures earlier in 2026. Congressional scrutiny has been largely partisan, with Democratic questioning focused on operational decisions and personnel moves, while Republican leadership has shown no coordinated effort to force a change. Trader consensus at 71% “No” for removal by December 31 aligns with the absence of acute political catalysts or institutional pressure that would overcome White House backing before year-end. Scheduled events like ongoing budget cycles and defense policy implementation further anchor expectations that the current leadership structure holds through the resolution window.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Pete Hegseth ceases to be U.S. Secretary of Defense for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

An announcement of Pete Hegseth's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from Pete Hegseth and the U.S. government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volumen
$270,779
Enddatum
31. Dez. 2026
Markt eröffnet
Apr 1, 2026, 3:35 PM ET
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Pete Hegseth ceases to be U.S. Secretary of Defense for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Pete Hegseth's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Pete Hegseth and the U.S. government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Pete Hegseth ceases to be U.S. Secretary of Defense for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Pete Hegseth's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Pete Hegseth and the U.S. government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.**Pete Hegseth remains actively engaged as Secretary of Defense (now titled Secretary of War) into mid-2026, with no announced resignation or formal removal process underway.** He continues to testify on budget requests, conduct media appearances such as a June 10, 2026, briefing at MacDill Air Force Base, and participate in high-profile events including Face the Nation. President Trump’s consistent support has insulated the position despite internal Pentagon friction, including multiple senior officer firings and service secretary departures earlier in 2026. Congressional scrutiny has been largely partisan, with Democratic questioning focused on operational decisions and personnel moves, while Republican leadership has shown no coordinated effort to force a change. Trader consensus at 71% “No” for removal by December 31 aligns with the absence of acute political catalysts or institutional pressure that would overcome White House backing before year-end. Scheduled events like ongoing budget cycles and defense policy implementation further anchor expectations that the current leadership structure holds through the resolution window.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Pete Hegseth ceases to be U.S. Secretary of Defense for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

An announcement of Pete Hegseth's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from Pete Hegseth and the U.S. government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volumen
$270,779
Enddatum
31. Dez. 2026
Markt eröffnet
Apr 1, 2026, 3:35 PM ET
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Pete Hegseth ceases to be U.S. Secretary of Defense for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Pete Hegseth's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Pete Hegseth and the U.S. government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Vorsicht bei externen Links.

Häufig gestellte Fragen

„Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?" ist ein Prognosemarkt auf Polymarket, auf dem Händler „Ja"- oder „Nein"-Anteile kaufen und verkaufen, je nachdem, ob sie glauben, dass dieses Ereignis eintreten wird. Die aktuelle Wahrscheinlichkeit laut Community liegt bei 24% für „Yes". Wird „Ja" beispielsweise bei 24¢ gehandelt, schätzt der Markt die Wahrscheinlichkeit des Eintretens auf 24%. Diese Quoten ändern sich laufend, wenn Händler auf neue Entwicklungen und Informationen reagieren. Anteile am richtigen Ergebnis können bei Marktauflösung für jeweils $1 eingelöst werden.

Stand heute hat „Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?" ein Gesamthandelsvolumen von $270.8K generiert, seit der Markt am Apr 1, 2026 gestartet wurde. Dieses Aktivitätsniveau spiegelt starkes Engagement der Polymarket-Community wider und stellt sicher, dass die aktuellen Quoten von einem breiten Pool an Marktteilnehmern geprägt werden. Sie können Live-Preisbewegungen verfolgen und direkt auf dieser Seite auf jedes Ergebnis handeln.

Um auf „Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?" zu handeln, wählen Sie einfach, ob Sie glauben, dass die Antwort „Ja" oder „Nein" lautet. Jede Seite hat einen aktuellen Preis, der die implizierte Wahrscheinlichkeit des Marktes widerspiegelt. Geben Sie Ihren Betrag ein und klicken Sie auf „Handeln". Wenn Sie „Ja"-Anteile kaufen und das Ergebnis als „Ja" aufgelöst wird, zahlt jeder Anteil $1 aus. Wird es als „Nein" aufgelöst, zahlen Ihre „Ja"-Anteile $0. Sie können Ihre Anteile auch jederzeit vor der Auflösung verkaufen, um einen Gewinn zu sichern oder einen Verlust zu begrenzen.

Die aktuelle Wahrscheinlichkeit für „Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?" liegt bei 24% für „Yes". Das bedeutet, die Polymarket-Community glaubt derzeit, dass eine Wahrscheinlichkeit von 24% besteht, dass dieses Ereignis eintritt. Diese Quoten werden in Echtzeit auf Basis tatsächlicher Handelsgeschäfte aktualisiert und liefern ein ständig aktualisiertes Signal dessen, was der Markt erwartet.

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