Gadi Eisenkot of the Yashar party leads trader pricing for the next Israeli prime minister at 53 percent, ahead of incumbent Benjamin Netanyahu at 28.5 percent, as recent opinion surveys show Eisenkot preferred in head-to-head matchups on security leadership and suitability for the role. The October 27, 2026 Knesset election follows the first full-term government in decades, with polls projecting Eisenkot’s list as the largest or near-largest party and opposition blocs competitive for a majority. Netanyahu’s Likud and right-wing allies trail in seat projections, while Naftali Bennett’s Together alliance and smaller lists such as Avigdor Lieberman’s Yisrael Beiteinu register lower support. Campaign rhetoric centers on October 7 accountability, coalition arithmetic, and bloc positioning, with traders weighting Eisenkot’s polling momentum and broader appeal against Netanyahu’s incumbency and base consolidation.

Sep 19 2026

Poll shows People of Israel party surging, threatening Netanyahu's right-wing bloc

Ofer Winter rises to 2%1%

Polls showed Winter's People of Israel party gaining seats, potentially splitting the right-wing vote and challenging Netanyahu's coalition prospects.

Sep 17 2026

Poll shows pro-Netanyahu bloc edges ahead of Eisenkot's opposition

Benjamin Netanyahu rises to 30%2%

A Channel 13 poll projected the pro-Netanyahu bloc winning 54 seats, narrowly leading Gadi Eisenkot's opposition bloc with 52 seats, showing a tight race and affecting market perceptions of Netanyahu's chances.

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