Ongoing US-Iran nuclear negotiations since February 2026 remain deadlocked primarily over Tehran's refusal to permanently forgo domestic uranium enrichment, a longstanding red line despite prior facility damage from 2025 strikes and IAEA concerns over its enriched stockpile. Economic pressures from sanctions create incentives for compromise, yet Iranian officials continue asserting sovereign rights to enrichment activities under oversight. This balance keeps the probability of a binding agreement to halt enrichment by July 31 near even. Further diplomatic progress on verification, stockpile removal, or a regional consortium framework could shift sentiment toward Yes, while renewed assertions of enrichment rights or negotiation breakdowns would reinforce the slight edge for No.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertIran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by July 31?
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by July 31?
$44,056 Vol.
$44,056 Vol.
31. Juli 2026
$44,056 Vol.
$44,056 Vol.
31. Juli 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Iran publicly agrees to end all enrichment of uranium by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An official pledge by Iran to end all enrichment of Uranium will qualify for a “Yes” resolution, whether as a unilateral announcement or part of an agreement with the U.S. or Israel.
Any agreement or pledge made before the resolution date of this market will qualify, regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium for any amount of time will count.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium as a precondition of a more comprehensive peace process or deal will qualify, even if the agreement is not finalized or part of a formalized peace deal.
Agreements to merely limit or cap the level or quality of enrichment—such as reducing enrichment to below weapons-grade thresholds—will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. Ongoing US-Iran nuclear negotiations since February 2026 remain deadlocked primarily over Tehran's refusal to permanently forgo domestic uranium enrichment, a longstanding red line despite prior facility damage from 2025 strikes and IAEA concerns over its enriched stockpile. Economic pressures from sanctions create incentives for compromise, yet Iranian officials continue asserting sovereign rights to enrichment activities under oversight. This balance keeps the probability of a binding agreement to halt enrichment by July 31 near even. Further diplomatic progress on verification, stockpile removal, or a regional consortium framework could shift sentiment toward Yes, while renewed assertions of enrichment rights or negotiation breakdowns would reinforce the slight edge for No.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Iran publicly agrees to end all enrichment of uranium by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An official pledge by Iran to end all enrichment of Uranium will qualify for a “Yes” resolution, whether as a unilateral announcement or part of an agreement with the U.S. or Israel.
Any agreement or pledge made before the resolution date of this market will qualify, regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium for any amount of time will count.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium as a precondition of a more comprehensive peace process or deal will qualify, even if the agreement is not finalized or part of a formalized peace deal.
Agreements to merely limit or cap the level or quality of enrichment—such as reducing enrichment to below weapons-grade thresholds—will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
An official pledge by Iran to end all enrichment of Uranium will qualify for a “Yes” resolution, whether as a unilateral announcement or part of an agreement with the U.S. or Israel.
Any agreement or pledge made before the resolution date of this market will qualify, regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium for any amount of time will count.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium as a precondition of a more comprehensive peace process or deal will qualify, even if the agreement is not finalized or part of a formalized peace deal.
Agreements to merely limit or cap the level or quality of enrichment—such as reducing enrichment to below weapons-grade thresholds—will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Markt eröffnet: May 25, 2026, 2:32 PM ET
Volumen
$44,056Enddatum
31. Juli 2026Markt eröffnet
May 25, 2026, 2:32 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Iran publicly agrees to end all enrichment of uranium by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An official pledge by Iran to end all enrichment of Uranium will qualify for a “Yes” resolution, whether as a unilateral announcement or part of an agreement with the U.S. or Israel.
Any agreement or pledge made before the resolution date of this market will qualify, regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium for any amount of time will count.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium as a precondition of a more comprehensive peace process or deal will qualify, even if the agreement is not finalized or part of a formalized peace deal.
Agreements to merely limit or cap the level or quality of enrichment—such as reducing enrichment to below weapons-grade thresholds—will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. Ongoing US-Iran nuclear negotiations since February 2026 remain deadlocked primarily over Tehran's refusal to permanently forgo domestic uranium enrichment, a longstanding red line despite prior facility damage from 2025 strikes and IAEA concerns over its enriched stockpile. Economic pressures from sanctions create incentives for compromise, yet Iranian officials continue asserting sovereign rights to enrichment activities under oversight. This balance keeps the probability of a binding agreement to halt enrichment by July 31 near even. Further diplomatic progress on verification, stockpile removal, or a regional consortium framework could shift sentiment toward Yes, while renewed assertions of enrichment rights or negotiation breakdowns would reinforce the slight edge for No.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Iran publicly agrees to end all enrichment of uranium by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An official pledge by Iran to end all enrichment of Uranium will qualify for a “Yes” resolution, whether as a unilateral announcement or part of an agreement with the U.S. or Israel.
Any agreement or pledge made before the resolution date of this market will qualify, regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium for any amount of time will count.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium as a precondition of a more comprehensive peace process or deal will qualify, even if the agreement is not finalized or part of a formalized peace deal.
Agreements to merely limit or cap the level or quality of enrichment—such as reducing enrichment to below weapons-grade thresholds—will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
An official pledge by Iran to end all enrichment of Uranium will qualify for a “Yes” resolution, whether as a unilateral announcement or part of an agreement with the U.S. or Israel.
Any agreement or pledge made before the resolution date of this market will qualify, regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium for any amount of time will count.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium as a precondition of a more comprehensive peace process or deal will qualify, even if the agreement is not finalized or part of a formalized peace deal.
Agreements to merely limit or cap the level or quality of enrichment—such as reducing enrichment to below weapons-grade thresholds—will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Volumen
$44,138Enddatum
31. Juli 2026Markt eröffnet
May 25, 2026, 2:32 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Ongoing US-Iran nuclear negotiations since February 2026 remain deadlocked primarily over Tehran's refusal to permanently forgo domestic uranium enrichment, a longstanding red line despite prior facility damage from 2025 strikes and IAEA concerns over its enriched stockpile. Economic pressures from sanctions create incentives for compromise, yet Iranian officials continue asserting sovereign rights to enrichment activities under oversight. This balance keeps the probability of a binding agreement to halt enrichment by July 31 near even. Further diplomatic progress on verification, stockpile removal, or a regional consortium framework could shift sentiment toward Yes, while renewed assertions of enrichment rights or negotiation breakdowns would reinforce the slight edge for No.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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