US-Iran tensions, including the February 2026 military conflict and subsequent naval blockade, combined with longstanding sanctions and domestic fiscal pressures, have driven sharp depreciation of the Iranian rial in open-market trading. By mid-2026 the rate reached roughly 1.37–1.93 million rials per dollar, reflecting capital flight, inflation from money creation, and restricted oil-export revenues. A diplomatic thaw reported in June produced modest stabilization and some rebound in parallel rates, yet core structural constraints persist. Traders monitor any further sanctions relief, oil-shipment developments, or escalation signals through August 31, as these directly influence rial supply and demand in the near term.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert↑ 2,1 Mio.
40%
↑ 2,0 Mio.
72%
↓ 1,8 Mio.
33%
↓ 1,7 Mio.
25%
↓ 1,6 Mio.
15%
$0.00 Vol.
↑ 2,1 Mio.
40%
↑ 2,0 Mio.
72%
↓ 1,8 Mio.
33%
↓ 1,7 Mio.
25%
↓ 1,6 Mio.
15%
This market will resolve according to the daily finalized free-market USD exchange rate as displayed on Bonbast (https://www.bonbast.com/graph/usd), which publishes prices in Iranian toman, where 1 Iranian toman equals 10 Iranian rials (IRR).
A daily figure will be considered finalized once the following day’s figure is released.
Revisions or corrections to daily figures indicating a qualifying exchange rate will be considered only if they occur before all relevant figures for this market have been finalized.
The resolution source for this market will be Bonbast (https://www.bonbast.com/graph/usd). Resolution will occur once the final exchange rate data point of the specified timeframe is finalized. If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, another resolution source will be chosen.
Markt eröffnet: Jul 29, 2026, 4:02 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve according to the daily finalized free-market USD exchange rate as displayed on Bonbast (https://www.bonbast.com/graph/usd), which publishes prices in Iranian toman, where 1 Iranian toman equals 10 Iranian rials (IRR).
A daily figure will be considered finalized once the following day’s figure is released.
Revisions or corrections to daily figures indicating a qualifying exchange rate will be considered only if they occur before all relevant figures for this market have been finalized.
The resolution source for this market will be Bonbast (https://www.bonbast.com/graph/usd). Resolution will occur once the final exchange rate data point of the specified timeframe is finalized. If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, another resolution source will be chosen.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...US-Iran tensions, including the February 2026 military conflict and subsequent naval blockade, combined with longstanding sanctions and domestic fiscal pressures, have driven sharp depreciation of the Iranian rial in open-market trading. By mid-2026 the rate reached roughly 1.37–1.93 million rials per dollar, reflecting capital flight, inflation from money creation, and restricted oil-export revenues. A diplomatic thaw reported in June produced modest stabilization and some rebound in parallel rates, yet core structural constraints persist. Traders monitor any further sanctions relief, oil-shipment developments, or escalation signals through August 31, as these directly influence rial supply and demand in the near term.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert



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