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icon for Houthis zielen erfolgreich auf den Versand am...?
Geopolitik·Öl

Houthis zielen erfolgreich auf den Versand am...?

icon for Houthis zielen erfolgreich auf den Versand am...?
Geopolitik·Öl

Houthis zielen erfolgreich auf den Versand am...?

Ended: Aug. 31

Ended: Aug. 31

$276,135 Vol.

24. Juli 2026
Polymarket

$276,135 Vol.

Polymarket

July 24

$9,613 Vol.

Yes

July 25

$1,934 Vol.

No

July 26

$9,536 Vol.

No

July 27

$1,435 Vol.

No

July 28

$6,945 Vol.

No

July 29

$1,859 Vol.

No

30. Juli

$2,730 Vol.

Nein

31. Juli

$2,355 Vol.

Nein

1. August

$2,562 Vol.

Nein

2. August

$2,754 Vol.

Nein

3. August

$4,060 Vol.

Nein

4. August

$4,544 Vol.

Ja

5. August

$97,178 Vol.

Nein

6. August

$3,323 Vol.

Nein

7. August

$1,915 Vol.

Nein

8. August

$15,269 Vol.

Nein

9. August

$7,108 Vol.

Nein

10. August

$2,398 Vol.

Nein

11. August

$10,681 Vol.

Ja

12. August

$2,505 Vol.

Nein

13. August

$1,215 Vol.

Nein

14. August

$6,420 Vol.

Nein

15. August

$6,523 Vol.

Nein

16. August

$3,529 Vol.

Nein

17. August

$15,828 Vol.

Ja

18. August

$2,842 Vol.

Nein

19. August

$3,213 Vol.

Nein

20. August

$4,112 Vol.

Nein

21. August

$6,407 Vol.

Nein

22. August

$433 Vol.

Nein

23. August

$2,566 Vol.

Nein

24. August

$6,425 Vol.

Ja

25. August

$5,124 Vol.

Nein

26. August

$1,920 Vol.

Nein

27. August

$2,432 Vol.

Nein

28. August

$3,013 Vol.

Nein

29. August

$6,347 Vol.

Nein

30. August

$2,618 Vol.

Nein

31. August

$4,463 Vol.

Nein

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Houthi forces conduct a kinetic strike on or otherwise seize control of a commercial ship on the specified date AST (UTC+03:00). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Attacks on military vessels will not be considered. Missile/drone strikes targeting a ship that are intercepted or otherwise do not directly impact the vessel will not be considered, regardless of damage through debris. Seize control refers to Houthi forces forcefully boarding and taking control of a commercial ship. Qualifying incidents include, but are not limited to, drone and missile strikes, aerial bombings, and kinetic actions carried out by Houthi operatives in person, such as seizing a ship by force. The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. If a kinetic incident occurs, but, on the specified date, 11:59 PM AST, material ambiguity remains as to whether the incident can be attributed to Houthi operatives, this market may remain open for an additional 3 calendar days, AST. If, at such time, attribution of the incident still cannot be confirmed, this market will resolve to “No”.Recent Houthi territorial gains along Yemen’s Red Sea coast, including capture of the Mokha port and Perim (Mayun) Island in the Bab al-Mandeb Strait on September 10–11, 2026, have tightened control over a critical chokepoint handling 10–12% of global trade and rerouted Saudi oil exports after the Strait of Hormuz disruption. These advances elevate the risk of kinetic strikes on commercial vessels, driving elevated implied probabilities in related Polymarket contracts and pushing Brent crude above $100 per barrel while U.S. diesel prices exceeded $6 per gallon. Freight rates on China–Saudi routes have risen 37% since late July amid rerouting around Africa. Traders are pricing in sustained supply-chain pressure and potential further escalation ahead of any Saudi or international response, with market-implied odds reflecting real-capital consensus on heightened disruption likelihood through year-end.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Houthi forces conduct a kinetic strike on or otherwise seize control of a commercial ship on the specified date AST (UTC+03:00). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Attacks on military vessels will not be considered.

Missile/drone strikes targeting a ship that are intercepted or otherwise do not directly impact the vessel will not be considered, regardless of damage through debris.

Seize control refers to Houthi forces forcefully boarding and taking control of a commercial ship.

Qualifying incidents include, but are not limited to, drone and missile strikes, aerial bombings, and kinetic actions carried out by Houthi operatives in person, such as seizing a ship by force.

The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.

If a kinetic incident occurs, but, on the specified date, 11:59 PM AST, material ambiguity remains as to whether the incident can be attributed to Houthi operatives, this market may remain open for an additional 3 calendar days, AST. If, at such time, attribution of the incident still cannot be confirmed, this market will resolve to “No”.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Houthi forces conduct a kinetic strike on or otherwise seize control of a commercial ship on the specified date AST (UTC+03:00). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Attacks on military vessels will not be considered. Missile/drone strikes targeting a ship that are intercepted or otherwise do not directly impact the vessel will not be considered, regardless of damage through debris. Seize control refers to Houthi forces forcefully boarding and taking control of a commercial ship. Qualifying incidents include, but are not limited to, drone and missile strikes, aerial bombings, and kinetic actions carried out by Houthi operatives in person, such as seizing a ship by force. The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. If a kinetic incident occurs, but, on the specified date, 11:59 PM AST, material ambiguity remains as to whether the incident can be attributed to Houthi operatives, this market may remain open for an additional 3 calendar days, AST. If, at such time, attribution of the incident still cannot be confirmed, this market will resolve to “No”.
Volumen
$276,135
Enddatum
31. Aug. 2026
Markt eröffnet
Jul 23, 2026, 10:39 AM ET

Abwickler

0x65070BE91...

Vorgeschlagenes Ergebnis: Yes

Kein Einspruch

Endgültiges Ergebnis: Yes

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Houthi forces conduct a kinetic strike on or otherwise seize control of a commercial ship on the specified date AST (UTC+03:00). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Attacks on military vessels will not be considered. Missile/drone strikes targeting a ship that are intercepted or otherwise do not directly impact the vessel will not be considered, regardless of damage through debris. Seize control refers to Houthi forces forcefully boarding and taking control of a commercial ship. Qualifying incidents include, but are not limited to, drone and missile strikes, aerial bombings, and kinetic actions carried out by Houthi operatives in person, such as seizing a ship by force. The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. If a kinetic incident occurs, but, on the specified date, 11:59 PM AST, material ambiguity remains as to whether the incident can be attributed to Houthi operatives, this market may remain open for an additional 3 calendar days, AST. If, at such time, attribution of the incident still cannot be confirmed, this market will resolve to “No”.Recent Houthi territorial gains along Yemen’s Red Sea coast, including capture of the Mokha port and Perim (Mayun) Island in the Bab al-Mandeb Strait on September 10–11, 2026, have tightened control over a critical chokepoint handling 10–12% of global trade and rerouted Saudi oil exports after the Strait of Hormuz disruption. These advances elevate the risk of kinetic strikes on commercial vessels, driving elevated implied probabilities in related Polymarket contracts and pushing Brent crude above $100 per barrel while U.S. diesel prices exceeded $6 per gallon. Freight rates on China–Saudi routes have risen 37% since late July amid rerouting around Africa. Traders are pricing in sustained supply-chain pressure and potential further escalation ahead of any Saudi or international response, with market-implied odds reflecting real-capital consensus on heightened disruption likelihood through year-end.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Houthi forces conduct a kinetic strike on or otherwise seize control of a commercial ship on the specified date AST (UTC+03:00). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Attacks on military vessels will not be considered.

Missile/drone strikes targeting a ship that are intercepted or otherwise do not directly impact the vessel will not be considered, regardless of damage through debris.

Seize control refers to Houthi forces forcefully boarding and taking control of a commercial ship.

Qualifying incidents include, but are not limited to, drone and missile strikes, aerial bombings, and kinetic actions carried out by Houthi operatives in person, such as seizing a ship by force.

The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.

If a kinetic incident occurs, but, on the specified date, 11:59 PM AST, material ambiguity remains as to whether the incident can be attributed to Houthi operatives, this market may remain open for an additional 3 calendar days, AST. If, at such time, attribution of the incident still cannot be confirmed, this market will resolve to “No”.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Houthi forces conduct a kinetic strike on or otherwise seize control of a commercial ship on the specified date AST (UTC+03:00). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Attacks on military vessels will not be considered. Missile/drone strikes targeting a ship that are intercepted or otherwise do not directly impact the vessel will not be considered, regardless of damage through debris. Seize control refers to Houthi forces forcefully boarding and taking control of a commercial ship. Qualifying incidents include, but are not limited to, drone and missile strikes, aerial bombings, and kinetic actions carried out by Houthi operatives in person, such as seizing a ship by force. The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. If a kinetic incident occurs, but, on the specified date, 11:59 PM AST, material ambiguity remains as to whether the incident can be attributed to Houthi operatives, this market may remain open for an additional 3 calendar days, AST. If, at such time, attribution of the incident still cannot be confirmed, this market will resolve to “No”.
Volumen
$276,135
Enddatum
31. Aug. 2026
Markt eröffnet
Jul 23, 2026, 10:39 AM ET

Abwickler

0x65070BE91...

Vorgeschlagenes Ergebnis: Yes

Kein Einspruch

Endgültiges Ergebnis: Yes

Verwandte

icon for Werden die Huthi bis zum 11. September 2026 erfolgreich die Schifffahrt angreifen?

Werden die Huthi bis zum 11. September 2026 erfolgreich die Schifffahrt angreifen?

2%
Ja
icon for Werden die Huthi bis zum 30. September 2026 einen Öltanker kapern?

Werden die Huthi bis zum 30. September 2026 einen Öltanker kapern?

4%
Ja
icon for Will Somali pirates successfully seize a vessel by September 30, 2026?

Will Somali pirates successfully seize a vessel by September 30, 2026?

39%

Vorsicht bei externen Links.

Häufig gestellte Fragen

„Houthis zielen erfolgreich auf den Versand am...?" ist ein Prognosemarkt auf Polymarket mit 39 möglichen Ergebnissen, bei dem Händler Anteile auf Basis ihrer Einschätzung kaufen und verkaufen. Das aktuell führende Ergebnis ist „July 24" mit 100%, gefolgt von „4. August" mit 100%. Die Preise spiegeln Echtzeit-Wahrscheinlichkeiten der Community wider. Ein Anteilspreis von 100¢ bedeutet, dass der Markt diesem Ergebnis eine Wahrscheinlichkeit von 100% zuweist. Diese Quoten ändern sich laufend, wenn Händler auf neue Entwicklungen reagieren. Anteile am richtigen Ergebnis können bei Marktauflösung für jeweils $1 eingelöst werden.

Stand heute hat „Houthis zielen erfolgreich auf den Versand am...?" ein Gesamthandelsvolumen von $276.1K generiert, seit der Markt am Jul 23, 2026 gestartet wurde. Dieses Aktivitätsniveau spiegelt starkes Engagement der Polymarket-Community wider und stellt sicher, dass die aktuellen Quoten von einem breiten Pool an Marktteilnehmern geprägt werden. Sie können Live-Preisbewegungen verfolgen und direkt auf dieser Seite auf jedes Ergebnis handeln.

Um auf „Houthis zielen erfolgreich auf den Versand am...?" zu handeln, durchsuchen Sie die 39 verfügbaren Ergebnisse auf dieser Seite. Jedes Ergebnis zeigt einen aktuellen Preis, der die implizierte Wahrscheinlichkeit des Marktes darstellt. Um eine Position einzunehmen, wählen Sie das Ergebnis, das Sie für am wahrscheinlichsten halten, wählen Sie „Ja" um dafür oder „Nein" um dagegen zu handeln, geben Sie Ihren Betrag ein und klicken Sie auf „Handeln". Liegt Ihr gewähltes Ergebnis bei Marktauflösung richtig, zahlen Ihre „Ja"-Anteile jeweils $1 aus. Liegt es falsch, zahlen sie $0. Sie können Ihre Anteile auch jederzeit vor der Auflösung verkaufen.

Der aktuelle Favorit für „Houthis zielen erfolgreich auf den Versand am...?" ist „July 24" mit 100%, was bedeutet, dass der Markt diesem Ergebnis eine Wahrscheinlichkeit von 100% zuweist. Das nächstliegende Ergebnis ist „4. August" mit 100%. Diese Quoten werden in Echtzeit aktualisiert, wenn Händler Anteile kaufen und verkaufen. Schauen Sie regelmäßig vorbei oder speichern Sie diese Seite als Lesezeichen.

Die Auflösungsregeln für „Houthis zielen erfolgreich auf den Versand am...?" definieren genau, was passieren muss, damit jedes Ergebnis als Gewinner erklärt wird – einschließlich der offiziellen Datenquellen zur Bestimmung des Ergebnisses. Sie können die vollständigen Auflösungskriterien im Abschnitt „Regeln" auf dieser Seite über den Kommentaren einsehen. Wir empfehlen, die Regeln vor dem Handeln sorgfältig zu lesen, da sie die genauen Bedingungen, Sonderfälle und Quellen festlegen.